Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsTabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop game?

Tabletop

Of 1,003 developers who shipped a Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,255 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×3.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $60. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 1,255 games are announced against 644 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 1,255 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,003
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $1.3k → $807 → $719 → $449 → $564 → $358 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,003
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,698)
Top 5% $93k (exactly $93,207)
Developers, 2 yr 1,003
Released games 3,345
Announced 1,255
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 104,278 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $93k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 509 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,255 games are announced against 644 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Tabletop

40 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Tabletop + Military Fair $1.4k 30 devs
  2. Tabletop + Historical Fair $1.3k 57 devs
  3. Tabletop + Dragons Fair $1.2k 21 devs
  4. Tabletop + Space Fair $898 29 devs
  5. Tabletop + Capitalism Fair $807 35 devs
  6. Tabletop + Horror Fair $776 50 devs
  7. Tabletop + Psychological Horror Fair $746 28 devs
  8. Tabletop + Post-apocalyptic Fair $599 20 devs
  9. Tabletop + Pirates Fair $599 12 devs
  10. Tabletop + LGBTQ+ Fair $599 11 devs
  11. Tabletop + Dogs Fair $599 9 devs
  12. Tabletop + Psychological Fair $598 27 devs
  13. Tabletop + Artificial Intelligence Fair $505 39 devs
  14. Tabletop + Romance Fair $359 23 devs
  15. Tabletop + Mythology Poor odds $6.6k 14 devs
  16. Tabletop + Alternate History Poor odds $6.3k 16 devs
  17. Tabletop + Western Poor odds $3.8k 13 devs
  18. Tabletop + Female Protagonist Poor odds $2.5k 36 devs
  19. Tabletop + War Poor odds $1.2k 36 devs
  20. Tabletop + World War II Poor odds $1.2k 9 devs
  21. Tabletop + Crime Poor odds $1.0k 11 devs
  22. Tabletop + Magic Poor odds $898 66 devs
  23. Tabletop + Dark Fantasy Poor odds $898 57 devs
  24. Tabletop + Aliens Poor odds $898 11 devs
  25. Tabletop + Medieval Poor odds $748 97 devs
  26. Tabletop + Demons Poor odds $746 18 devs
  27. Tabletop + Fantasy Poor odds $719 185 devs
  28. Tabletop + Cyberpunk Poor odds $719 17 devs
  29. Tabletop + Modern Poor odds $600 21 devs
  30. Tabletop + Mystery Poor odds $538 32 devs
  31. Tabletop + Sci-fi Poor odds $300 43 devs
  32. Tabletop + Detective Poor odds $299 28 devs
  33. Tabletop + Futuristic Poor odds $225 29 devs
  34. Tabletop + Cats Dead $299 36 devs
  35. Tabletop + Nature Dead $298 42 devs
  36. Tabletop + Noir Dead $269 20 devs
  37. Tabletop + Dystopian Dead $239 17 devs
  38. Tabletop + Animals Dead $120 11 devs
  39. Tabletop + Science Dead $90 7 devs
  40. Tabletop + Steampunk Dead $0 9 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tabletop Simulator older $19.99 46,875 95% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,110,937) Berserk Games
Pummel Party older $14.99 46,134 88% 1.4M $21M (exactly $20,746,460) Rebuilt Games
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
For The King older $19.99 31,038 87% 931k $19M (exactly $18,613,489) IronOak Games
UNO older $9.99 42,019 70% 1.3M $13M (exactly $12,593,094) Ubisoft Entertainment
Liar's Bar · EA $6.99 48,708 89% 1.5M $10M (exactly $10,214,068) Curve Animation
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus older $29.99 11,279 91% 338k $10M (exactly $10,147,716) Bulwark Studios
For The King II older $24.99 12,708 71% 381k $9.5M (exactly $9,527,188) IronOak Games
Armello older $24.99 11,013 82% 330k $8.3M (exactly $8,256,446) League of Geeks
Ultimate General: Civil War older $29.99 8,331 88% 250k $7.5M (exactly $7,495,401) Game-Labs
Esoteric Ebb $24.99 8,719 95% 262k $6.5M (exactly $6,536,634) Christoffer Bodegård
Sunderfolk $49.99 1,890 93% 57k $2.8M (exactly $2,834,433) Secret Door
Demonic Mahjong $16.99 3,875 95% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,975,087) Boxed Lighting Games
Slots & Daggers $7.99 7,421 93% 223k $1.8M (exactly $1,778,814) Friedemann
Citizen Sleeper 2: Starward Vector $24.99 2,358 91% 71k $1.8M (exactly $1,767,793) Jump Over The Age
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Tabletop Tavern $19.99 2,049 89% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,785) TJ
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.