Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Incremental Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Incremental

Of 83 developers who shipped an Incremental Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 83 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $330 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 46 developers shipped in the last year and 83 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 83 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 83
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $716 → $298 → $178 → $239 → $836 → $359 → $150 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 83
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,525)
Top 5% $14k (exactly $14,262)
Developers, 2 yr 83
Released games 325
Announced 83
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop, Incremental; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Puzzle
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $5.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,972 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $14k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 53 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 83 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fish to Dish: Idle Sushi $5.99 2,525 96% 76k $454k (exactly $453,742) Kygua Tech
Adorables older $29.99 502 80% 15k $452k (exactly $451,649) White Rabbit
Loot of Baal $8.99 1,372 62% 41k $370k (exactly $370,028) Gleamer Studio
Egyptian Senet older $9.99 200 81% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ezzat Studios
Infiniclick $7.99 140 72% 4.2k $34k (exactly $33,558) Nacho AB
3D Math - Ultra older $4.99 218 92% 6.5k $33k (exactly $32,635) Big Mind Games 9000
Book of Fei $2.99 347 93% 10k $31k (exactly $31,126) TAO Studio
Cozy Solitaire $3.99 135 84% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) CozyPuzzleGames
SEARCH ALL - ADULT older $9.99 49 67% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,685) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Cozy Sudoku $2.99 159 76% 4.8k $14k (exactly $14,262) CozyPuzzleGames
Knock on Fate:The Guardian Pusher $5.99 58 87% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) 刚正面的红领巾
My Wife $1.99 143 94% 4.3k $8.5k (exactly $8,537) Neko Game
Pretty Girl Puzzle · Summer Phantom $4.99 50 98% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) Pomodoro Lab
Milo's Tiny Fish Pond $4.99 43 86% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) MMUnit

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.