Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Detective

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Detective Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Detective

Of 28 developers who shipped a Detective Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 47 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper, while revenue is up 20% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 47 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Detective
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $1.3k → $4.1k → $90 → $269 → $300 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Detective: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $21,649)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 74
Announced 47
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Detective
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Tabletop; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, PvP, Board Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,088 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
HackHub - Ultimate Hacker Simulator $16.99 937 88% 28k $478k (exactly $477,589) HotBunny
The Test: Final Revelation older $1.99 5,286 97% 159k $316k (exactly $315,574) Randumb Studios
Sacred Fire: A Role Playing Game · EA older $18.99 475 94% 14k $271k (exactly $270,608) Poetic
Clue/Cluedo older $14.99 489 89% 15k $220k (exactly $219,903) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Betrayal At Club Low older $9.99 538 97% 16k $161k (exactly $161,239) Cosmo D Studios
The Testing Chamber older $4.99 697 96% 21k $104k (exactly $104,341) Randumb Studios
Sunshine Shuffle older $9.99 156 76% 4.7k $47k (exactly $46,753) Strange Scaffold
Dance of Cards older $9.99 93 88% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) GoodMorningMrFrog
《奇门遁甲》 older $2.99 280 88% 8.4k $25k (exactly $25,116) CSTG-小光
3DMurderMystery TheAshenYou $18.99 38 73% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,649) ぐだぐだぶとん
Scotland Yard – Hunting Mister X $14.99 21 23% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) BitBarons GmbH
Double It $5.99 23 91% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Anisage Games
Escape Tales: The Awakening $7.99 17 94% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Bluekey Games
Detective 26 $7.62 15 80% 450 $3.4k (exactly $3,429) TestOneDev
Hexa's Gone $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) DevloCore
Mole or Not · EA $2.99 15 53% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) EY GAMES
17 Steps · EA $3.99 10 100% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) SmilingMiles
Only Cards $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Grim's Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.