Do I ship it?

GamesRhythmRhythm + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Rhythm game?

Rhythm + Tabletop

Only 8 developers shipped a Tabletop Rhythm game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ramen Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $180 against a market of $480. 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 230% on the market, 5 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Rhythm + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Rhythm + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $836 (exactly $836)
Top 5% $5.8k (exactly $5,750)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 25
Announced 5
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 230% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Rhythm, Tabletop
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 194 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $180, 1 in 4 over $830, 1 in 20 over $5.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Rhythm with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + Third-Person ShooterStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $18k · 52 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceFair8 devs · median $7.8k · 13 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Fair23 devs · median $7.2k · 26 announced
  7. + ManagementFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair21 devs · median $3.1k · 17 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  11. + SimulationFair114 devs · median $980 · 100 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced

All 110 pairs on the Rhythm page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Melody Mania · EA older $18.99 75 80% 2.3k $43k (exactly $42,728) Andreas Achim Stange
Ramen Simulator $5.99 32 84% 960 $5.8k (exactly $5,750) SECRET CHARACTER, HaconN
终极功德模拟器 | Zen Simulator older $1.99 26 84% 780 $1.6k (exactly $1,552) Archimedes Nicholas Xia
Screw Puzzle Master $1.99 14 50% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Lcc
Spinning Maze older $1.99 13 92% 390 $776 (exactly $776) Meta Form
Stardom MiniGames older $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Ping Pong Space - Retro Tennis older $2.99 6 83% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Best Friend Games
Hot 21 older $2.99 6 66% 180 $538 (exactly $538) B&W
1248 older $1.99 6 100% 180 $358 (exactly $358) taecg
Run, Poo, Run! $0.99 11 100% 330 $327 (exactly $327) Reanim Games
Swingin' Beats $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Dominik Farmer
Mr. Goofer’s Mini Game Arcade Party! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Svinta, Keri
Be touch-and-go $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) FuQianDeBiFang
DeskX $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 1UP Games
No Away From Keyboard $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) KNOVA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.