Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Idler

Of 69 developers who shipped an Idler Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 45 developers shipped in the last year and 73 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 73 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 69
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.5k → $298 → $416 → $716 → $449 → $239 → $150 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 69
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 5% $59k (exactly $58,682)
Developers, 2 yr 69
Released games 181
Announced 73
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop, Idler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Incremental, Simulation
Price point
$1.99 typical · top 25% priced $5.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $1.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 6,392 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $270, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fish to Dish: Idle Sushi $5.99 2,525 96% 76k $454k (exactly $453,742) Kygua Tech
Loot of Baal $8.99 1,372 62% 41k $370k (exactly $370,028) Gleamer Studio
Battle On! Hero Academy $4.99 756 83% 23k $113k (exactly $113,173) MMUnit
Mushroom Nook $4.99 392 98% 12k $59k (exactly $58,682) HyperstasisGaming
Lower? Higher! $9.99 146 67% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Unplugged Studio
Infiniclick $7.99 140 72% 4.2k $34k (exactly $33,558) Nacho AB
Book of Fei $2.99 347 93% 10k $31k (exactly $31,126) TAO Studio
希望之城 The City Of Hope older $6.99 126 68% 3.8k $26k (exactly $26,422) 家里蹲工作室
《奇门遁甲》 older $2.99 280 88% 8.4k $25k (exactly $25,116) CSTG-小光
Idle Taoist Mage Warrior older $4.99 128 85% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) okyakusama
ENCOUNTER BAR $0.99 590 78% 18k $18k (exactly $17,523) 2R
AFKandia - Epoch of Idle $5.99 66 45% 2.0k $12k (exactly $11,860) Yang++ Game Studio
Knock on Fate:The Guardian Pusher $5.99 58 87% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) 刚正面的红领巾

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.