Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Spelling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Spelling Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Spelling

Only 16 developers shipped a Spelling Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, OMG Words, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Spelling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $297 → $298 → $298 → $300 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Spelling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $21,578)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 51
Announced 14
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Spelling
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop, Spelling; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Word Game, Strategy, Board Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 116 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
OMG Words $9.99 72 79% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Dave
Knotwords older $11.99 54 90% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,424) Zach Gage, Jack Schlesinger
Happy Words older $4.99 121 46% 3.6k $18k (exactly $18,114) LAN - GAMES LTD
ACT IT OUT XL! A Charades Party Game older $11.99 50 74% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,985) Snap Finger Click
Ragnar's Chinese Memory Game older $5.99 33 100% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) Ragnar Brynjúlfsson
Pleasure Puzzle:Portrait 趣拼拼:肖像画 older $0.99 194 95% 5.8k $5.8k (exactly $5,762) 冷笑黑妖
Pleasure Puzzle:Workshop 趣拼拼:拼图工坊 older $0.99 162 87% 4.9k $4.8k (exactly $4,811) 冷笑黑妖
Pleasure Puzzle:Sexy Girls 趣拼拼:性感少女 older $0.99 157 80% 4.7k $4.7k (exactly $4,663) 冷笑黑妖
Amazing Pyramids: Rebirth older $6.99 21 76% 630 $4.4k (exactly $4,404) Oleg Sereda
You, Calligrapher older $6.99 15 100% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Patha Pradipa 挪灯人
Jargon $11.99 5 100% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Damon D'Amico
Grammar Grind $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Skylor Beck
Waddle Words $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Grau Games
Lexica $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Damon D'Amico
Wordy Online - Classic Word Games $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) ArcoDev
Pyramid of Wisdom $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) FlagmanJeremy
Hangman Pro · EA $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Hard Shark Games
Chromapix $1.99 5 60% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Catnip studio
Relax Scramble: Endless Word Puzzle $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Perch Labs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.