Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grid-Based Movement Tabletop game?

Grid-Based Movement + Tabletop

Of 60 developers who shipped a Grid-Based Movement Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. Revenue is down 70% on the market, with 84 games announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 84 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 60
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $1.1k → $3.1k → $899 → $359 → $599 → $119 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 60
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,356)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $41,059)
Developers, 2 yr 60
Released games 212
Announced 84
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Grid-Based Movement, Tabletop; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,968 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TRIANGLE STRATEGY older $59.99 3,239 78% 97k $5.8M (exactly $5,829,228) Square Enix, ARTDINK
Talisman: Digital Classic Edition older $6.99 5,557 80% 167k $1.2M (exactly $1,165,303) Nomad Games
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
ADOM (Ancient Domains Of Mystery) older $14.99 1,253 86% 38k $563k (exactly $563,474) Thomas Biskup, Jochen Terstiege, Zeno R… (Thomas Biskup, Jochen Terstiege, Zeno Rogue, Krzysztof Dycha, Lucas Dieguez)
Abalon: Roguelike Tactics CCG older $29.99 592 95% 18k $533k (exactly $532,622) D20Studios
Field of Glory II: Medieval older $29.99 424 86% 13k $381k (exactly $381,473) Byzantine Games
The Warlock of Firetop Mountain older $19.99 352 76% 11k $211k (exactly $211,094) Tin Man Games
Dawnsbury Days older $4.99 922 98% 28k $138k (exactly $138,023) Dawnsbury Studios
Dark Quest 3 older $18.99 231 73% 6.9k $132k (exactly $131,601) Brain Seal Ltd
Master of Piece · EA $14.99 197 86% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) I M GAME, I M fine
Toads of the Bayou $9.99 137 72% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,059) La Grange
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
ColdRidge $9.99 97 73% 2.9k $29k (exactly $29,071) Frog Collective
Beacon Patrol $11.99 70 97% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Shapes and Dreams, BrutalHack
Combat Directive : Napoleonic Wars $19.99 36 88% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) Fatice Games
Board Game Society $14.99 29 62% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Jetebra Games
SOG: Vietnam $12.99 33 93% 990 $13k (exactly $12,860) PigeonMakesGames, Games By Loki
Areteion $19.99 17 94% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) juxtapositioned

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.