Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Solitaire

Of 122 developers who shipped a Solitaire Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 77 developers shipped in the last year and 82 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 82 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 122
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $955 → $539 → $748 → $1.0k → $300 → $1.0k → $479 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 122
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,556)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $18,712)
Developers, 2 yr 122
Released games 453
Announced 82
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop, Solitaire; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,584 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stacklands older $7.99 29,244 96% 877k $7.0M (exactly $7,009,787) Sokpop Collective
Root older $14.99 5,049 90% 151k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,535) Dire Wolf
Cardboard Town older $19.99 2,051 79% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) Stratera Games, cukuto
Faerie Solitaire older $14.99 1,361 89% 41k $612k (exactly $612,042) Subsoap
The Solitaire Conspiracy older $11.99 742 89% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) Bithell Games
Dice Player One older $14.99 456 90% 14k $205k (exactly $205,063) KDream
Regency Solitaire older $11.99 559 96% 17k $201k (exactly $201,072) Grey Alien Games
Ancient Enemy older $16.99 386 89% 12k $197k (exactly $196,744) Grey Alien Games
Mahjong older $9.99 589 84% 18k $177k (exactly $176,523) Sanuk Games
Mystic Vale older $12.99 384 89% 12k $150k (exactly $149,645) Nomad Games
Queens Casino $9.99 311 98% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) sartahouse
Factory Planner · EA $7.99 385 70% 12k $92k (exactly $92,284) Lebleby Games
A Solitaire Mystery $9.99 278 91% 8.3k $83k (exactly $83,317) Hempuli Oy
Rainbow Legends $12.99 90 74% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio
Shadowhand Solitaire $13.99 64 90% 1.9k $27k (exactly $26,861) Grey Alien Games
Paper Kingdom $12.99 65 61% 2.0k $25k (exactly $25,330) obece
Kungfu Card · EA $4.99 125 73% 3.8k $19k (exactly $18,712) ZeroCastle Game Studio, Miwu Studio
Decks of the Damned $9.99 54 68% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Thorian Games
Cozy Solitaire $3.99 135 84% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) CozyPuzzleGames
It's time, Your Majesty $6.99 77 64% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) String studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.