Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Tabletop

Of 48 developers who shipped a Tabletop Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 51 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 50% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 51 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 48
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $896 → $1.8k → $2.0k → $90 → $119 → $5.8k (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 48
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,750)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $33,124)
Developers, 2 yr 48
Released games 143
Announced 51
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Tabletop; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Life Sim, Economy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,882 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $360, 1 in 4 over $5.7k, 1 in 20 over $33k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Just Go older $9.99 3,227 92% 97k $967k (exactly $967,132) Studio Amateur
Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer $11.99 1,609 82% 48k $579k (exactly $578,757) ShaneGame
RPG Time: The Legend of Wright older $29.99 417 88% 13k $375k (exactly $375,175) 株式会社デスクワークス
The Test: Final Revelation older $1.99 5,286 97% 159k $316k (exactly $315,574) Randumb Studios
Tiny Civilization older $1.99 2,134 92% 64k $127k (exactly $127,400) 喜人一个
Exotica: Petshop Simulator older $7.99 482 81% 14k $116k (exactly $115,535) Konrul Game
Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition older $15.99 233 74% 7.0k $112k (exactly $111,770) Ripstone
The Testing Chamber older $4.99 697 96% 21k $104k (exactly $104,341) Randumb Studios
Mechajammer older $12.99 190 48% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,043) Whalenought Studios
The Confession older $1.99 990 94% 30k $59k (exactly $59,103) Randumb Studios
Lower? Higher! $9.99 146 67% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Unplugged Studio
Table Battle Simulator · EA $12.99 85 74% 2.6k $33k (exactly $33,124) Kiki Games
Casino Island Simulator · EA $8.99 120 61% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,364) Clap Games
Racket Pinball $19.99 37 91% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) NiVision
SpaceCorp: 2025-2300AD $9.99 73 83% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) Logix Interactive
劍紙三國 $12.99 55 98% 1.7k $21k (exactly $21,434) JGame CO., LTD.
Casino Simulator 2024 $5.99 119 69% 3.6k $21k (exactly $21,384) METAGAR
ENCOUNTER BAR $0.99 590 78% 18k $18k (exactly $17,523) 2R
War Room: Tactical Sandbox · EA $9.99 48 62% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,386) Lado B Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.