Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Tabletop

Of 38 developers who shipped a Tabletop 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 15 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 23 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $0 → $5.4k → $358 → $59 → $179 (still earning) → $89 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $32,364)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 94
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Tabletop; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Arcade, Board Game
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,071 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.2k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Just Go older $9.99 3,227 92% 97k $967k (exactly $967,132) Studio Amateur
Stripjong - Super Real Mahjong Venus Returns $29.99 740 80% 22k $666k (exactly $665,778) ILLUMINATION
Richman 4 older $5.99 1,614 74% 48k $290k (exactly $290,036) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
富豪派对重制版 · EA older $6.99 728 85% 22k $153k (exactly $152,662) Tianmu Games
Gomoku Let's Go older $2.99 883 88% 26k $79k (exactly $79,205) Studio Amateur
Richman 8 older $7.99 214 64% 6.4k $51k (exactly $51,296) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(BEIJING)CO.LTD
Casino Island Simulator · EA $8.99 120 61% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,364) Clap Games
Your Cute Wife older $18.99 41 78% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,358) 1UP Games
3DMurderMystery TheAshenYou $18.99 38 73% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,649) ぐだぐだぶとん
Running Fable Petite Party $13.99 51 100% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,405) Seashell Studio
Mighty Marbles $11.99 24 91% 720 $8.6k (exactly $8,633) James Oliver
Rascal's Escape $29.99 6 66% 180 $5.4k (exactly $5,398) the Good Evil GmbH
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Excrucia $3.99 14 71% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Mansur
Hentai Merge Dice $1.99 25 80% 750 $1.5k (exactly $1,492) theNeko
你的妹子 Your Girl $2.99 14 57% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) GAZEM

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.