Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Platformer?

Platformer + Tabletop

Of 22 developers who shipped a Tabletop Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 15 developers shipped in the last year and 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 5 announced, ×0.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $0 → $150 → $239 → $270 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,556)
Top 5% $8.6k (exactly $8,633)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 51
Announced 5
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer, Tabletop; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle Platformer, 3D Platformer, Board Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Family Friendly, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 236 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $8.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Adorables older $29.99 502 80% 15k $452k (exactly $451,649) White Rabbit
Running Fable Petite Party $13.99 51 100% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,405) Seashell Studio
Mighty Marbles $11.99 24 91% 720 $8.6k (exactly $8,633) James Oliver
AI Faith: Compute [>_AIFC] $4.99 55 81% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Beneloop.ai
Jigsaw Pieces 3 - Fantasy older $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Graphium Studio
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Meta Sudoku older $1.99 75 80% 2.3k $4.5k (exactly $4,478) Matrix Science
Last Sin of Soul $2.99 36 83% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) Rabro
PRIMAFLOOWS older $4.99 13 92% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Bartoluw Game
Shapes of Memory: Jigsaw Puzzle $3.99 13 100% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) Creative Hand, Abyssal Studios
Dungeon Spheres $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) axel_hollow
99 Games: Puzzle, Action, Strategy, Simulation, Casual, Roguelike, Shooter, RPG & More $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Chongqing Xishou Technology Co., Ltd
Daily Brew Idle: Milk Tea Tycoon $1.00 9 33% 270 $270 (exactly $270) 天道(Tiandao Games)
Meta Lines 2 · EA $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Matrix Science

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.