Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Shooter?

Shooter + Tabletop

Only 7 developers shipped a Tabletop Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Original Moorhuhn Hunt, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 10 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $150 → $270
Outcomes for Shooter + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $270 (exactly $270)
Top 5% $4.6k (exactly $4,641)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 32
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Tabletop; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Shoot 'Em Up
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $4.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Side Scroller, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 8 games average 93% positive over 241 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $150, 1 in 4 over $270, 1 in 20 over $4.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shotgun King: The Final Checkmate older $9.99 5,918 92% 178k $1.8M (exactly $1,773,625) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
The Original Moorhuhn Hunt $2.99 140 97% 4.2k $13k (exactly $12,558) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Struggle Offensive · EA older $1.99 132 63% 4.0k $7.9k (exactly $7,880) OXO Games
Moorhuhn X - Crazy Chicken X older $4.99 47 100% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Moorhuhn 2 $4.99 31 96% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Conflict Area · EA older $3.99 34 88% 1.0k $4.1k (exactly $4,070) SncI Games
Moorhuhn Remake $2.99 38 89% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Moorhuhn Winter Edition $4.99 20 90% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Shells Shooter older $6.00 16 100% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,880) Hotality Games
Moorhuhn Piraten - Crazy Chicken Pirates older $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Daily Brew Idle: Milk Tea Tycoon $1.00 9 33% 270 $270 (exactly $270) 天道(Tiandao Games)
GG-Party · EA $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) GoraGames
Mr. Goofer’s Mini Game Arcade Party! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Svinta, Keri
Mad Lab Roulette $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) humbledbag
The Madness of Billiards $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Julián David Rozo Montealegre
Asteroids and Aliens $2.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JBJon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.