Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Mystery Dungeon?

Mystery Dungeon + Tabletop

Only 11 developers shipped a Tabletop Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Card Rogue, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150, ×0.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. Revenue is down 85% on the market, with 10 games announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 10 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $748 → $2.0k → $150
Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,518)
Top 5% $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 31
Announced 10
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon, Tabletop
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 80% positive over 56 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $3.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 10 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dynamic Dungeons Editor older $29.99 158 60% 4.7k $142k (exactly $142,153) Dynamic Dungeons
LiMiT's Escape Room Games older $3.99 104 66% 3.1k $12k (exactly $12,449) Marco Hirschfeld
LiMiT's Escape Room Games 2 older $11.99 34 94% 1.0k $12k (exactly $12,230) Marco Hirschfeld
桃夭塔 TaoYaoTa older $4.99 40 62% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) 吃了就睡工作室, 桃之夭夭
Check and Slash older $4.99 24 91% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Gate of Madness
Card Rogue $4.99 22 63% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Game Tsukuru Kun
Dice & Dungeons older $2.99 35 68% 1.1k $3.1k (exactly $3,140) Beni Games
Dungeon & Poker $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Vansonstudio
Tileweaver $11.99 7 100% 210 $2.5k (exactly $2,518) Mattalarc & Wolter
Drakkon World Builder older $2.99 28 92% 840 $2.5k (exactly $2,512) Electric Falcon LLC
Questboard $5.99 9 88% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Binary Cabin
Intermundia: Dungeons, Polygons & Magic · EA $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Trinity Team, Excaliber
Dungeon (W)Hoarders $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Chad McCoskey
BoxIsland: Sokoban $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) ASON GAME
Grid World $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 一尾66
Polterparty · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Eelsmooth
The Gamble Maze $10.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Innovative Potential

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.