Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Logic game?

Logic + Tabletop

Of 166 developers who shipped a Tabletop Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 152 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 118 developers shipped in the last year and 152 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 152 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 166
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $2.2k → $599 → $564 → $299 → $239 → $150 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 166
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Developers, 2 yr 166
Released games 683
Announced 152
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic, Tabletop; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,716 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 70 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 152 games are announced against 118 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Hasbro's BATTLESHIP older $12.49 828 82% 25k $310k (exactly $310,252) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
The Solitaire Conspiracy older $11.99 742 89% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) Bithell Games
Quilts and Cats of Calico older $19.99 405 93% 12k $243k (exactly $242,878) Monster Couch
I'm on Observation Duty 5 older $9.99 775 96% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Notovia
Master of Chess $19.99 290 83% 8.7k $174k (exactly $173,913) BRANE
Passant: A Chess Roguelike $11.99 363 79% 11k $131k (exactly $130,571) Marc Makes Games
I'm on Observation Duty 4 older $4.99 787 96% 24k $118k (exactly $117,814) Notovia
Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret older $14.99 235 73% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Somer Games
Queens Casino $9.99 311 98% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) sartahouse
A Solitaire Mystery $9.99 278 91% 8.3k $83k (exactly $83,317) Hempuli Oy
Zup! Y $1.99 385 91% 12k $23k (exactly $22,984) Quiet River
Yes, My Queen $12.99 50 82% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Wall Spaghetti
Ctrl Alt Deal $19.99 28 85% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) Only By Midnight Ltd.
High Frontier 4 All $19.99 17 17% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, N… (Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, Nicolas Mondino, Theo Sandén, Leonard Wahlund, Alexander Wahrenstedt, Carl Nordholm, Erico Pizarro Gutierrez, Natdanai Puthom, Olivia Bernardsson, Dag Petersen, Sam Abou-Gabal, Pablo Schmidt, Spilios Kehagias, Aphiwit Lekphet, Zongying Liu, Markus Vikmanis, Kamila Kuzmiuk, Edvin Skogsholm Sanne, Janina Carvajal Ibacache, Adam Kallberg, Ricky Truong, Carl Forden, Robin Christopher Öhman Tejre, Malte Gundhus, Mathias Novakovic, Christopher Vedlund, Ivo Öjhage, Benjamin Grissom, Linus Granskog)
Musicmenia $9.99 32 90% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Symphonic Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.