Do I ship it?

Games › Settings › Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval game?

Medieval

Of 2,218 developers who shipped a Medieval game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4,170 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×890 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 4,170 games are announced against 1,310 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 4,170 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 2,218
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.5k → $1.6k → $1.5k → $1.8k → $1.4k → $1.2k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 2,218
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,527)
Top 5% $423k (exactly $422,831)
Developers, 2 yr 2,218
Released games 6,185
Announced 4,170
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 469,098 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 1,151 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4,170 games are announced against 1,310 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Medieval

157 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Action Roguelike + Medieval Poor odds $1.2k 234 devs
  2. Tower Defense + Medieval Poor odds $1.2k 200 devs
  3. Swordplay + Medieval Poor odds $1.2k 118 devs
  4. Precision Platformer + Medieval Poor odds $1.2k 36 devs
  5. Collectathon + Medieval Poor odds $1.2k 50 devs
  6. Combat + Medieval Poor odds $1.1k 606 devs
  7. Puzzle Platformer + Medieval Poor odds $1.1k 48 devs
  8. Action + Medieval Poor odds $959 825 devs
  9. 4 Player Local + Medieval Poor odds $959 17 devs
  10. Top-Down Shooter + Medieval Poor odds $955 40 devs
  11. PvP + Medieval Poor odds $900 169 devs
  12. Logic + Medieval Poor odds $900 81 devs
  13. Card Battler + Medieval Poor odds $899 117 devs
  14. Hidden Object + Medieval Poor odds $899 69 devs
  15. Investigation + Medieval Poor odds $899 43 devs
  16. Survival Horror + Medieval Poor odds $899 43 devs
  17. Traditional Roguelike + Medieval Poor odds $899 26 devs
  18. 3D Fighter + Medieval Poor odds $839 50 devs
  19. Third-Person Shooter + Medieval Poor odds $839 25 devs
  20. Puzzle + Medieval Poor odds $838 229 devs
  21. 2D Platformer + Medieval Poor odds $838 183 devs
  22. PvE + Medieval Poor odds $809 429 devs
  23. Platformer + Medieval Poor odds $809 137 devs
  24. Tabletop + Medieval Poor odds $748 97 devs
  25. Beat 'em up + Medieval Poor odds $748 56 devs
  26. Quick-Time Events + Medieval Poor odds $748 20 devs
  27. Action-Adventure + Medieval Poor odds $719 417 devs
  28. Shooter + Medieval Poor odds $719 78 devs
  29. Parkour + Medieval Poor odds $719 28 devs
  30. Party Game + Medieval Poor odds $719 23 devs
  31. Word Game + Medieval Poor odds $719 17 devs
  32. Board Game + Medieval Poor odds $599 95 devs
  33. Mystery Dungeon + Medieval Poor odds $599 53 devs
  34. Chess + Medieval Poor odds $598 16 devs
  35. Stealth + Medieval Poor odds $597 38 devs
  36. Trading Card Game + Medieval Poor odds $539 20 devs
  37. Arcade + Medieval Poor odds $538 172 devs
  38. 2D Fighter + Medieval Poor odds $479 41 devs
  39. FPS + Medieval Poor odds $416 66 devs
  40. Boomer Shooter + Medieval Poor odds $358 17 devs
  41. Archery + Medieval Poor odds $300 32 devs
  42. Real-Time + Medieval Dead $64k 5 devs
  43. Character Action Game + Medieval Dead $58k 5 devs
  44. Otome + Medieval Dead $6.5k 7 devs
  45. Bullet Time + Medieval Dead $2.3k 11 devs
  46. Sokoban + Medieval Dead $2.0k 9 devs
  47. Battle Royale + Medieval Dead $1.3k 6 devs
  48. Match 3 + Medieval Dead $538 12 devs
  49. Looter Shooter + Medieval Dead $449 12 devs
  50. Shoot 'Em Up + Medieval Dead $416 39 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition 2015 · $1.2B Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022 · $346M Kingdom Come: Deliverance II 2025 · $260M Crimson Desert Enhanced 2026 · $242M Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019 · $167M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition older $49.99 823,357 96% 25M $1.2B (exactly $1,234,788,493) CD PROJEKT RED
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord older $49.99 230,490 87% 6.9M $346M (exactly $345,665,853) TaleWorlds Entertainment
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II $59.99 144,558 93% 4.3M $260M (exactly $260,161,033) Warhorse Studios
Crimson Desert Enhanced $69.99 115,056 83% 3.5M $242M (exactly $241,583,083) Pearl Abyss
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition older $34.99 158,931 94% 4.8M $167M (exactly $166,829,871) World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Captur… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, CaptureAge, Tantalus Media, Wicked Witch, Feral Interactive)
Crusader Kings III older $49.99 94,615 90% 2.8M $142M (exactly $141,894,116) Paradox Development Studio
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™ older $49.99 87,777 88% 2.6M $132M (exactly $131,639,167) Monolith Productions
Kingdom Come: Deliverance older $29.99 143,303 83% 4.3M $129M (exactly $128,929,709) Warhorse Studios
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin older $39.99 83,722 84% 2.5M $100M (exactly $100,441,283) FromSoftware, Inc.
FOR HONOR™ older $29.99 108,492 69% 3.3M $98M (exactly $97,610,252) Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Toronto, Blue Byte)
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered $49.99 59,690 76% 1.8M $90M (exactly $89,517,093) Bethesda Game Studios, Virtuos
Gothic 1 Remake $49.99 26,258 88% 788k $39M (exactly $39,379,123) Alkimia Interactive
Mortal Shell II $49.99 18,644 79% 559k $28M (exactly $27,960,407) Cold Symmetry
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Foundation $34.99 23,037 86% 691k $24M (exactly $24,181,939) Polymorph Games
Half Sword · EA $24.99 28,656 71% 860k $21M (exactly $21,483,403) Half Sword Games
Assassin's Creed Mirage $49.99 11,612 76% 348k $17M (exactly $17,414,516) Ubisoft Bordeaux
ENDER MAGNOLIA: Bloom in the Mist $24.99 17,143 95% 514k $13M (exactly $12,852,107) Adglobe, Live Wire

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.