Do I ship it?

Games › Platformer › Platformer + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Platformer?

Platformer + Medieval

Of 137 developers who shipped a Medieval Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 230 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×673 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 230 games are announced against 75 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 230 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 137
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $718 → $1.5k → $599 → $898 → $899 → $809 (still earning) → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 137
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,315)
Top 5% $320k (exactly $319,760)
Developers, 2 yr 137
Released games 455
Announced 230
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 2D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Side Scroller
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 26,472 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $810, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 74 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 230 games are announced against 75 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove 2014 · $17M ENDER MAGNOLIA: Bloom in the Mist 2025 · $13M Rogue Legacy 2013 · $7.1M Jump King 2019 · $4.8M Mandragora: Whispers of the Witch Tree 2025 · $3.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove older $39.99 14,211 95% 426k $17M (exactly $17,048,937) Yacht Club Games
ENDER MAGNOLIA: Bloom in the Mist $24.99 17,143 95% 514k $13M (exactly $12,852,107) Adglobe, Live Wire
Rogue Legacy older $14.99 15,877 92% 476k $7.1M (exactly $7,139,887) Cellar Door Games
Jump King older $12.99 12,342 90% 370k $4.8M (exactly $4,809,677) Nexile
Mandragora: Whispers of the Witch Tree $39.99 3,026 75% 91k $3.6M (exactly $3,630,292) Primal Game Studio
Phoenotopia: Awakening older $19.99 2,755 82% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,652,173) Cape Cosmic
ALTF4 older $2.99 9,452 80% 284k $848k (exactly $847,844) PUMPKIM
A Juggler's Tale older $17.99 1,265 93% 38k $683k (exactly $682,720) kaleidoscube
Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon $14.99 1,397 70% 42k $628k (exactly $628,231) Art Thieves
Bloodthief $19.99 1,017 95% 31k $610k (exactly $609,895) Blargis
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
The Knightling $29.99 495 86% 15k $445k (exactly $445,352) Twirlbound
Ambidextro $7.99 1,334 98% 40k $320k (exactly $319,760) Majorariatto
Divinum $14.99 525 85% 16k $236k (exactly $236,092) Sigil Games
Scarlet Deer Inn $19.99 333 88% 10k $200k (exactly $199,700) Attu Games
Volkolak: The Will of Gods $15.99 304 87% 9.1k $146k (exactly $145,829) Volk Team

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.