Do I ship it?

Games › Traditional Roguelike › Traditional Roguelike + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Traditional Roguelike?

Traditional Roguelike + Medieval

Of 26 developers who shipped a Medieval Traditional Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $16k, ×35 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 55 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 55 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Traditional Roguelike + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $1.2k → $1.3k → $1.9k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Traditional Roguelike + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,394)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $16,484)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 50
Announced 55
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Traditional Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Traditional Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Turn-Based Combat, RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 357 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $16k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Traditional Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair15 devs · median $2.9k · 19 announced
  2. + Procedural GenerationFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + CRPGFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  4. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 55 announced
  5. + Turn-Based CombatFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  6. + Sci-fiFair26 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  7. + TacticalFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  8. + FantasyFair99 devs · median $898 · 125 announced
  9. + Turn-Based StrategyFair63 devs · median $779 · 101 announced
  10. + Turn-Based TacticsFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  11. + RoguelikeFair247 devs · median $599 · 314 announced
  12. + StrategyFair152 devs · median $599 · 207 announced

All 54 pairs on the Traditional Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Low Magic Age 2017 · EA · $1.5M Path of Achra 2024 · $949k Endgame of Devil 2023 · $202k Dredgers 2019 · $169k Rogue Empire: Dungeon Crawler RPG 2019 · $160k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Low Magic Age · EA older $14.99 3,342 89% 100k $1.5M (exactly $1,502,897) Low Magic Studios
Path of Achra older $9.99 3,166 98% 95k $949k (exactly $948,850) Ulfsire
Endgame of Devil older $6.99 964 88% 29k $202k (exactly $202,151) MiniWhale
Dredgers older $11.99 471 88% 14k $169k (exactly $169,419) Pirate-Rob
Rogue Empire: Dungeon Crawler RPG older $14.99 355 84% 11k $160k (exactly $159,644) Portal Entertainment
Forsworn $15.99 187 90% 5.6k $90k (exactly $89,704) Resummon Studios LLC
Rogue older $2.99 498 94% 15k $45k (exactly $44,671) Epyx, Inc.
Undergrave older $9.99 72 87% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Wired Dreams Studio
Warlords Battle Simulator $9.99 55 67% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) RedKar Devs
DeAnima $9.99 26 84% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Steelgaze Studio
Divineblaze : March Tactics $14.99 12 66% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) LD Game Studio
Path of Gear: Blacksmith's Legend · EA $9.99 10 70% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) HaNWA Games
Azure Dragon's Treasure And 999 Days of Survival $4.99 17 70% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Moyu Studio
开局觉醒神级天赋 $3.99 20 70% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) 北望
Once upon a Dungeon - Infinity $7.99 9 88% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) Koto Games
VÖLUND $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) VÖLUND_DEV
Dragonwake $7.99 8 62% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Mr Crops

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.