Do I ship it?

Games › Tabletop › Tabletop + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Medieval

Of 97 developers who shipped a Medieval Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 136 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×779 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 136 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 136 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 97
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $719 → $1.1k → $1.3k → $240 → $2.7k → $748 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 97
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,860)
Top 5% $370k (exactly $370,028)
Developers, 2 yr 97
Released games 265
Announced 136
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Tabletop; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 9,875 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $750, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 136 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante 2021 · $4.9M Dungeon Alchemist 2022 · EA · $3.6M Blood Bowl 3 2023 · $3.5M Demeo 2021 · $2.0M dotAGE 2023 · $1.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante older $19.99 8,151 89% 245k $4.9M (exactly $4,888,155) Sever, Schisma Games
Dungeon Alchemist · EA older $44.99 2,666 94% 80k $3.6M (exactly $3,598,300) Briganti
Blood Bowl 3 older $29.99 3,940 51% 118k $3.5M (exactly $3,544,818) Cyanide Studio
Demeo older $39.99 1,703 87% 51k $2.0M (exactly $2,043,089) Resolution Games
dotAGE older $17.59 2,560 94% 77k $1.4M (exactly $1,350,912) Michele Pirovano
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Tabletop Tavern $19.99 2,049 89% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,785) TJ
A Game of Thrones: The Board Game - Digital Edition older $19.99 1,705 71% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,022,488) Dire Wolf
Who Needs a Hero? older $19.99 1,388 91% 42k $832k (exactly $832,384) Henrique Faitta Chitolina, Pidro Soft
Black Geyser: Couriers of Darkness older $29.99 924 74% 28k $831k (exactly $831,323) GrapeOcean Technologies
Clank! $22.99 542 92% 16k $374k (exactly $373,817) Dire Wolf
HEART of CROWN Online $29.99 412 84% 12k $371k (exactly $370,676) illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, quziralab.
Loot of Baal $8.99 1,372 62% 41k $370k (exactly $370,028) Gleamer Studio
Doodle Empires · EA $6.99 1,279 92% 38k $268k (exactly $268,206) Turtle Stack Games
Crown Gambit $17.99 428 94% 13k $231k (exactly $230,992) WILD WITS GAMES
Talisman: Digital 5th Edition $29.99 227 70% 6.8k $204k (exactly $204,232) Nomad Games
Strategos · EA $24.99 233 85% 7.0k $175k (exactly $174,680) Strategos Games
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.