Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Shooter?

Shooter + Medieval

Of 78 developers who shipped a Medieval Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 130 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×643 the market median. Revenue is up 110% on the market; 130 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 110% on the market, 130 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 78
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $898 → $300 → $719 → $809 → $360 → $659 (still earning) → $6.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 78
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,443)
Top 5% $404k (exactly $403,672)
Developers, 2 yr 78
Released games 257
Announced 130
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 110% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, FPS
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 7,241 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 130 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Myth of Empires older $29.99 15,520 68% 466k $14M (exactly $13,963,344) Angela Game
Pass the Fear $18.99 2,985 79% 90k $1.7M (exactly $1,700,554) PlayMud Studio
Northern Journey older $11.99 3,500 96% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,950) Slid Studio
Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) older $24.99 1,227 78% 37k $920k (exactly $919,882) Jutsu Games
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Wizordum $19.99 880 91% 26k $528k (exactly $527,736) Emberheart Games
Yasuke Simulator $6.99 1,925 97% 58k $404k (exactly $403,672) HistoryAccurateDevelopers
Project Sparrow · EA older $9.99 1,067 88% 32k $320k (exactly $319,780) Inspire Game Studios
Arthurian Legends older $11.99 547 90% 16k $197k (exactly $196,756) Scolaro Games
AMID EVIL VR older $19.99 262 88% 7.9k $157k (exactly $157,121) Indefatigable, Noah Rayburn, Andre Elij… (Indefatigable, Noah Rayburn, Andre Elijah Immersive)
Yuri Sword Saga $10.99 212 97% 6.4k $70k (exactly $69,896) Pico Games
Blood Reaver · EA $14.99 155 88% 4.7k $70k (exactly $69,704) Hell Byte Studios
Blood Brides $9.99 45 62% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Era t'my
Tale of the Bullet Knight · EA $15.99 21 95% 630 $10k (exactly $10,074) JAKALWIZARDSTUDIO
Swamp Keeper $3.99 82 96% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Maetdol Games
Hell Survivors · EA $7.99 38 55% 1.1k $9.1k (exactly $9,109) Aerilon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.