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Should I ship a Medieval Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Medieval
Of 20 developers who shipped a paid Medieval Trading Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 69 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $81k, ×130 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 69 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $539 (exactly $539) |
| Top 25% | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) |
| Top 5% | $82k (exactly $81,845) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 80 |
| Announced | 69 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 40%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Medieval
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Battler, Card Game
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Comedy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 421 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
Kingdom Rush Vengeance - Tower Defense 2020 · $5.9M 
Heart of Crown PC 2017 · $396k 
Erannorth Chronicles 2021 · $256k 
Witch and Council : The Card 2024 · $82k 
Castle Cardians 2021 · EA · $51k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Kingdom Rush Vengeance - Tower Defense | older | $19.99 | 9,906 93% | 297k | $5.9M (exactly $5,940,628) | Ironhide Game Studio |
| | Heart of Crown PC | older | $24.99 | 528 80% | 16k | $396k (exactly $395,842) | illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, Japanime Digital |
| | Erannorth Chronicles | older | $20.99 | 407 85% | 12k | $256k (exactly $256,288) | Spyridon Thalassinos |
| | Witch and Council : The Card | $14.99 | 182 48% | 5.5k | $82k (exactly $81,845) | G1 Playground | |
| | Castle Cardians | · EA older | $14.99 | 113 72% | 3.4k | $51k (exactly $50,816) | 风宇冲 |
 | Islets Defense | $9.99 | 129 94% | 3.9k | $39k (exactly $38,661) | MiniGoof | |
 | Fairtravel Battle CCG | · EA | $14.99 | 52 98% | 1.6k | $23k (exactly $23,384) | Flaming Torch Games |
 | Card Crawl | older | $2.99 | 175 76% | 5.3k | $16k (exactly $15,698) | Arnold Rauers |
 | Card Artisan | $12.99 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $14k (exactly $14,029) | Fullen Games | |
 | Royal Merchant | older | $4.99 | 75 62% | 2.3k | $11k (exactly $11,228) | Badim |
 | Battle Hanafuda | · EA | $7.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) | SUZUKI PLAN, Yoji Suzuki |
 | Rampallians | · EA | $7.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Electric Brain Games |
 | Fur and Void | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | DFS | |
 | Rise of the Settlement | · EA | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Luki |
 | Necrocat | $3.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | Noct Paradox | |
 | Choice Matters | $5.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Nue Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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