Games › Match 3 › Match 3 + Medieval
Should I ship a Medieval Match 3?
Match 3 + Medieval
Only 12 developers shipped a Medieval Match 3 in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Puzzle Quest: Immortal Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $540 against a market of $480. 17 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 25% | $9.4k (exactly $9,352) |
| Top 5% | $235k (exactly $234,743) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 68 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1550% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Match 3
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 667 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Match 3 with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + DemonsFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + ShooterFair
- + MagicFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + PvPLong shot
- + CombatLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
Puzzle Quest: Immortal Edition 2025 · $235k 
Tiny Civilization 2023 · $127k 
Hero Emblems II 2024 · $92k 
Valhalla：Awakening of Valkyrie 2022 · $64k 
Tomb of Tyrants 2015 · $56k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Puzzle Quest: Immortal Edition | $14.99 | 522 77% | 16k | $235k (exactly $234,743) | Infinity Plus 2 | |
| | Tiny Civilization | older | $1.99 | 2,134 92% | 64k | $127k (exactly $127,400) | 喜人一个 |
| | Hero Emblems II | older | $11.99 | 255 58% | 7.7k | $92k (exactly $91,724) | HeatPot Games |
| | Valhalla：Awakening of Valkyrie | older | $7.99 | 268 36% | 8.0k | $64k (exactly $64,240) | Fantasy Game |
| | Tomb of Tyrants | older | $7.99 | 234 78% | 7.0k | $56k (exactly $56,090) | Jake Huhman |
 | Fantasy Match -Make a H match with cute young woman- | older | $7.99 | 203 79% | 6.1k | $49k (exactly $48,659) | 魔界あ号営業所 |
 | Gems of the Aztecs | older | $14.99 | 103 78% | 3.1k | $46k (exactly $46,319) | Wellore |
 | Merge & Blade | older | $9.99 | 121 76% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $36,264) | Magic Cube |
 | Furry Fantasy | older | $6.99 | 120 72% | 3.6k | $25k (exactly $25,164) | Octo Games |
 | Storm Tale | older | $9.99 | 79 89% | 2.4k | $24k (exactly $23,676) | Green Sauce Games |
 | Kaamos: Puzzle Roguelike | $9.99 | 73 87% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $21,878) | Pepperbox Studios | |
 | 转生魔塔 | $11.99 | 26 88% | 780 | $9.4k (exactly $9,352) | Zeros | |
 | Avalon Jewels 2 Collector's Edition | $14.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $4.9k (exactly $4,947) | Anawiki Games | |
 | Avalon Jewels | $9.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Anawiki Games | |
 | Elemental Realms | $3.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | Bunker Games | |
 | Hentai Castle | $2.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | Iron Jelly | |
 | Merge Guard | $3.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | Raido Studios | |
 | Queen's Garden : French Splendor | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Seven Sails Games | |
 | Warriors Waifus Mahjong | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Sweet Banana Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.