Do I ship it?

Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Medieval

Of 25 developers who shipped a Medieval Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 38 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper, while revenue is down 45% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 38 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $300 → $2.4k → $2.4k → $839 → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,514)
Top 5% $404k (exactly $403,672)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 73
Announced 38
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$6.50 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.50.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 6,801 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $840, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap 2025 · $3.6M Yasuke Simulator 2025 · $404k The Bleakest Keep 2025 · $215k Knights Within 2024 · EA · $135k Elmarion: Dragon time 2020 · EA · $47k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap $29.99 4,053 69% 122k $3.6M (exactly $3,646,484) Robot Entertainment
Yasuke Simulator $6.99 1,925 97% 58k $404k (exactly $403,672) HistoryAccurateDevelopers
The Bleakest Keep $9.99 719 90% 22k $215k (exactly $215,484) Cache of Bones
Knights Within · EA older $17.99 250 95% 7.5k $135k (exactly $134,925) Indecision Labs
Elmarion: Dragon time · EA older $2.99 522 73% 16k $47k (exactly $46,823) Fleon Games
Valand older $7.99 54 59% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,944) LOMS Studio
North Hunt $6.50 24 75% 720 $4.7k (exactly $4,680) NewGen
Girls' civilization 3 · EA older $18.99 6 66% 180 $3.4k (exactly $3,418) Moondolino
Third Wild older $5.99 17 52% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) landing man studio
Dragon Blaze $9.99 9 100% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Zerodiv
Bonk It! $4.99 18 88% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Slotherin
The Odyssey Simulator $6.99 12 83% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) HistoryAccurateDevelopers
Super Weapon Master 超级武器大师 $3.99 21 57% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Idea Cat
Tormented Soul · EA $19.99 4 0% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) ChainSoul Studio
Cast & Spell $4.99 16 75% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Hosthood Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.