Do I ship it?

GamesSokobanSokoban + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Sokoban?

Sokoban + Medieval

Only 9 developers shipped a Medieval Sokoban in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fell in love with the Nobility girl As a member of the rebel organization, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.0k against a market of $480. 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 6 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sokoban + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $418 → $478 → $2.5k → $359
Outcomes for Sokoban + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $2.0k (exactly $1,977)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 5% $5.9k (exactly $5,872)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 6
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 70% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Sokoban
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 236 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $2.0k, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $5.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sokoban with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  3. + CatsFair15 devs · median $776 · 16 announced
  4. + LogicFair203 devs · median $718 · 176 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  6. + PuzzleFair294 devs · median $599 · 288 announced
  7. + ProgrammingFair8 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  9. + StrategyFair141 devs · median $539 · 125 announced
  10. + Puzzle PlatformerFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  11. + FuturisticLong shot21 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds6 devs · median $19k · 16 announced

All 50 pairs on the Sokoban page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Drag and Drop Medieval older $29.99 91 85% 2.7k $82k (exactly $81,873) Galactic Geckon
Fell in love with the Nobility girl As a member of the rebel organization $6.99 28 78% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) selenophobia
Dark Crypt older $4.99 24 100% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Daisy Games
刻印战记1:法利兹传 $8.99 13 53% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Lycian Studio
Long Ago: A Puzzle Tale older $4.99 18 83% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) GrimTalin
Götz $4.99 17 88% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Sleepy Seed
Dungeonborne Settlement $4.99 16 56% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Dersty
Tile Tales: Pirate $5.99 11 100% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) NineZyme OÜ
Blooby Block older $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Basement Fun Games
Inferno older $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Blue Vertex
Trigwa $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) CD-REV
Will The King Escape? $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Giuseppe Praticò
BOX HUSTLE $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ROSSO GAMES
Push and Plunder $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JK's Gamedev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.