Do I ship it?

Games › Bullet Time › Bullet Time + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Bullet Time game?

Bullet Time + Medieval

Only 11 developers shipped a Medieval Bullet Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shady Knight, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.3k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 16 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Time + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $39k → $2.1k → $599 → $987 → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Time + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $987 (exactly $987)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,593)
Top 5% $539k (exactly $538,531)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 33
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Bullet Time
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 1,013 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $990, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $990. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Time with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NoirFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + LogicFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $836 · 21 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair13 devs · median $718 · 8 announced
  6. + StrategyFair60 devs · median $599 · 59 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair20 devs · median $597 · 20 announced
  8. + Quick-Time EventsLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  9. + On-Rails ShooterLong shot8 devs · median $359 · 8 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds13 devs · median $44k · 39 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $5.4k · 30 announced
  12. + Beat 'em upPoor odds11 devs · median $4.7k · 19 announced

All 95 pairs on the Bullet Time page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Shady Knight 2024 · $539k Dredgers 2019 · $169k Active DBG: Brave's Rage 2023 · $121k Time Lock VR 2 2022 · $66k Oedo Trigger!! 2023 · $39k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Dredgers older $11.99 471 88% 14k $169k (exactly $169,419) Pirate-Rob
Active DBG: Brave's Rage older $17.99 224 80% 6.7k $121k (exactly $120,893) ISVR
Time Lock VR 2 older $12.99 170 88% 5.1k $66k (exactly $66,249) WR-VRG
Oedo Trigger!! older $24.99 52 92% 1.6k $39k (exactly $38,984) CQC Software
Angry Penguin older $1.99 328 92% 9.8k $20k (exactly $19,582) PAIN PEPPER
Claws of Soria: Escape the Succubus Night $12.99 25 64% 750 $9.7k (exactly $9,742) Byakko MeiMei
Sheep Seeker $9.99 22 100% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG)
Prop Sumo $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Barrel Roll Games
Dark Erosion: Endless Siege $6.99 15 80% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) LaoLiang
League Of Tacticians: Path of Tarkan $5.99 13 84% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Oba Games
Castle And Cursor $6.99 11 63% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Elite Gorgon Games
Temporal Gunslinger $2.99 11 100% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Ledan's Gift
Honest Helper $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Adam Robichaux
Cannoneer · EA $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Logical Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.