Do I ship it?

Games › Settings › Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval game?

Medieval

Of 2,218 developers who shipped a Medieval game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4,170 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×890 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 4,170 games are announced against 1,310 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 4,170 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 2,218
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.5k → $1.6k → $1.5k → $1.8k → $1.4k → $1.2k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 2,218
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,527)
Top 5% $423k (exactly $422,831)
Developers, 2 yr 2,218
Released games 6,185
Announced 4,170
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 469,098 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 1,151 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4,170 games are announced against 1,310 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Medieval

157 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Simulation + Medieval Poor odds $3.1k 499 devs
  2. Farming Sim + Medieval Poor odds $3.1k 45 devs
  3. Hunting + Medieval Poor odds $3.1k 16 devs
  4. Agriculture + Medieval Poor odds $3.0k 25 devs
  5. CRPG + Medieval Poor odds $3.0k 97 devs
  6. Loot + Medieval Poor odds $3.0k 133 devs
  7. Souls-like + Medieval Poor odds $3.0k 129 devs
  8. Class-Based + Medieval Poor odds $2.9k 99 devs
  9. Metroidvania + Medieval Poor odds $2.9k 49 devs
  10. Inventory Management + Medieval Poor odds $2.8k 115 devs
  11. Spectacle fighter + Medieval Poor odds $2.7k 36 devs
  12. Dynamic Narration + Medieval Poor odds $2.5k 18 devs
  13. Tactical RPG + Medieval Poor odds $2.4k 160 devs
  14. Automation + Medieval Poor odds $2.4k 59 devs
  15. RPG + Medieval Poor odds $2.3k 940 devs
  16. Choose Your Own Adventure + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 156 devs
  17. God Game + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 30 devs
  18. Exploration + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 488 devs
  19. Dungeon Crawler + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 296 devs
  20. Choices Matter + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 322 devs
  21. Multiple Endings + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 207 devs
  22. Action RTS + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 57 devs
  23. Hack and Slash + Medieval Poor odds $2.1k 266 devs
  24. Roguelite + Medieval Poor odds $1.9k 397 devs
  25. Strategy RPG + Medieval Poor odds $1.9k 206 devs
  26. Turn-Based Combat + Medieval Poor odds $1.8k 322 devs
  27. Grid-Based Movement + Medieval Poor odds $1.8k 58 devs
  28. Level Editor + Medieval Poor odds $1.8k 32 devs
  29. Roguelike + Medieval Poor odds $1.8k 402 devs
  30. Turn-Based Strategy + Medieval Poor odds $1.7k 320 devs
  31. Auto Battler + Medieval Poor odds $1.7k 137 devs
  32. Perma Death + Medieval Poor odds $1.7k 84 devs
  33. Fishing + Medieval Poor odds $1.7k 9 devs
  34. Bullet Hell + Medieval Poor odds $1.7k 85 devs
  35. Action RPG + Medieval Poor odds $1.6k 339 devs
  36. Deckbuilding + Medieval Poor odds $1.6k 149 devs
  37. Creature Collector + Medieval Poor odds $1.6k 26 devs
  38. Tactical + Medieval Poor odds $1.6k 273 devs
  39. Interactive Fiction + Medieval Poor odds $1.6k 85 devs
  40. Local Multiplayer + Medieval Poor odds $1.6k 54 devs
  41. Card Game + Medieval Poor odds $1.5k 170 devs
  42. Survival + Medieval Poor odds $1.5k 211 devs
  43. Strategy + Medieval Poor odds $1.4k 907 devs
  44. Wargame + Medieval Poor odds $1.4k 111 devs
  45. Physics + Medieval Poor odds $1.4k 104 devs
  46. Adventure + Medieval Poor odds $1.3k 888 devs
  47. Time Management + Medieval Poor odds $1.3k 93 devs
  48. Point & Click + Medieval Poor odds $1.3k 151 devs
  49. Real Time Tactics + Medieval Poor odds $1.3k 137 devs
  50. Turn-Based Tactics + Medieval Poor odds $1.2k 289 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition 2015 · $1.2B Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022 · $346M Kingdom Come: Deliverance II 2025 · $260M Crimson Desert Enhanced 2026 · $242M Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019 · $167M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition older $49.99 823,357 96% 25M $1.2B (exactly $1,234,788,493) CD PROJEKT RED
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord older $49.99 230,490 87% 6.9M $346M (exactly $345,665,853) TaleWorlds Entertainment
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II $59.99 144,558 93% 4.3M $260M (exactly $260,161,033) Warhorse Studios
Crimson Desert Enhanced $69.99 115,056 83% 3.5M $242M (exactly $241,583,083) Pearl Abyss
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition older $34.99 158,931 94% 4.8M $167M (exactly $166,829,871) World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Captur… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, CaptureAge, Tantalus Media, Wicked Witch, Feral Interactive)
Crusader Kings III older $49.99 94,615 90% 2.8M $142M (exactly $141,894,116) Paradox Development Studio
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™ older $49.99 87,777 88% 2.6M $132M (exactly $131,639,167) Monolith Productions
Kingdom Come: Deliverance older $29.99 143,303 83% 4.3M $129M (exactly $128,929,709) Warhorse Studios
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin older $39.99 83,722 84% 2.5M $100M (exactly $100,441,283) FromSoftware, Inc.
FOR HONOR™ older $29.99 108,492 69% 3.3M $98M (exactly $97,610,252) Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Toronto, Blue Byte)
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered $49.99 59,690 76% 1.8M $90M (exactly $89,517,093) Bethesda Game Studios, Virtuos
Gothic 1 Remake $49.99 26,258 88% 788k $39M (exactly $39,379,123) Alkimia Interactive
Mortal Shell II $49.99 18,644 79% 559k $28M (exactly $27,960,407) Cold Symmetry
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Foundation $34.99 23,037 86% 691k $24M (exactly $24,181,939) Polymorph Games
Half Sword · EA $24.99 28,656 71% 860k $21M (exactly $21,483,403) Half Sword Games
Assassin's Creed Mirage $49.99 11,612 76% 348k $17M (exactly $17,414,516) Ubisoft Bordeaux
ENDER MAGNOLIA: Bloom in the Mist $24.99 17,143 95% 514k $13M (exactly $12,852,107) Adglobe, Live Wire

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.