Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Medieval

Only 6 developers shipped a paid Medieval Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, A Smithing Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 29 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.3k against a market of $1.3k. 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 29 announced, ×7.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $0 → $449 → $4.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,287)
Top 5% $9.5k (exactly $9,456)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 35
Announced 29
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 43%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 632 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $4.2k, 1 in 20 over $9.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 29 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
ZADETTE older $5.99 67 92% 2.0k $12k (exactly $12,040) Le Club des Sacs
A Smithing Game $3.99 79 79% 2.4k $9.5k (exactly $9,456) Zoteling
Adventurer's Gambit: Dungeons of Fortune $12.99 11 81% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Astana Games
Periculum $5.99 7 57% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Kucki
Gladiator of sparta older $9.99 3 33% 90 $899 (exactly $899) LFR games
Soulfire : Weapon Master · EA older $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) AyDream Co., Ltd.
Dragon War · EA older $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) QJ
Danger and Deadlier older $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Dog On God
Legends' Battlegrounds · EA $13.99 1 0% 30 $420 (exactly $420) Joy Abstraction
Number Wars $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Enaayah Software Development and Servic… (Enaayah Software Development and Services Private Limited)
Gunpoint Gambit $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Robert Bogdan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.