Do I ship it?

Games › Card Battler › Card Battler + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Card Battler?

Card Battler + Medieval

Of 117 developers who shipped a Medieval Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 256 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×780 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 256 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 256 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 117
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.6k → $5.4k → $1.6k → $748 → $899 → $2.2k → $899 (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 117
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $7.3k (exactly $7,253)
Top 5% $371k (exactly $370,676)
Developers, 2 yr 117
Released games 252
Announced 256
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Card Battler; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Deckbuilding
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 11,611 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $900, 1 in 4 over $7.2k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 47 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 256 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Drop Duchy 2025 · $1.3M Oaken Tower 2026 · EA · $906k As We Descend 2025 · EA · $801k Resist the succubus—The end of the female Knight 2024 · $698k Rune Coliseum 2024 · EA · $505k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Oaken Tower · EA $9.99 3,024 89% 91k $906k (exactly $906,293) Bocary Studios
As We Descend · EA $19.99 1,336 86% 40k $801k (exactly $801,199) Box Dragon
Resist the succubus—The end of the female Knight older $16.99 1,370 74% 41k $698k (exactly $698,289) BoRoBoRoGame
Rune Coliseum · EA $18.99 886 79% 27k $505k (exactly $504,754) Rafale Software
None Shall Intrude $14.99 934 73% 28k $420k (exactly $420,020) Aeterna Ludi
Heart of Crown PC older $24.99 528 80% 16k $396k (exactly $395,842) illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, Japanime Digital
GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) older $9.99 1,266 54% 38k $379k (exactly $379,420) CD PROJEKT RED
HEART of CROWN Online $29.99 412 84% 12k $371k (exactly $370,676) illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, quziralab.
Poker Quest: Swords and Spades older $14.99 684 86% 21k $308k (exactly $307,595) Playsaurus
Three Kingdoms: The Blood Moon $8.99 746 91% 22k $201k (exactly $201,196) Kygua Tech
The Royal Writ $14.99 425 80% 13k $191k (exactly $191,122) Save Sloth Studios
Apokerlypse $9.99 612 81% 18k $183k (exactly $183,416) Breaker Games
Dawncaster | The RPG Cardventure $19.99 274 81% 8.2k $164k (exactly $164,318) Wanderlost Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.