Do I ship it?

Games › Survival Horror › Survival Horror + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Medieval

Of 43 developers who shipped a Medieval Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×345 the market median. Revenue is up 245% on the market; 84 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 245% on the market, 84 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $3.4k → $599 → $2.2k → $537 → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,419)
Top 5% $217k (exactly $216,755)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 85
Announced 84
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 245% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 5,433 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $900, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Labyrinth Of The Demon King 2025 · $1.3M A.I.L.A 2025 · $800k PILGRIM 2024 · EA · $745k Undead Citadel 2023 · $259k Nested Lands 2026 · EA · $217k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Labyrinth Of The Demon King $19.99 2,116 92% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,268,965) J. R. Hudepohl
A.I.L.A $29.99 889 81% 27k $800k (exactly $799,833) Pulsatrix Studios
PILGRIM · EA older $7.99 3,109 66% 93k $745k (exactly $745,227) DESPERATE MEASURES
Undead Citadel older $29.99 288 72% 8.6k $259k (exactly $259,114) Dark Curry S.L.
Nested Lands · EA $14.99 482 73% 14k $217k (exactly $216,755) 1M Bits Horde
The Bleakest Keep $9.99 719 90% 22k $215k (exactly $215,484) Cache of Bones
Caput Mortum $11.99 355 94% 11k $128k (exactly $127,694) WildArts Games
Knights End $7.99 286 90% 8.6k $69k (exactly $68,554) Knight Shift Studios
Devil of the Plague · EA $9.99 186 78% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) SoulByte Games
The Last Man Survivor $4.99 279 67% 8.4k $42k (exactly $41,766) Renderise
Unplagued $7.99 90 45% 2.7k $22k (exactly $21,573) Euphoric Brothers
Hope Deferred $19.99 31 100% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Tell All

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.