Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Medieval

Of 183 developers who shipped a Medieval 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 279 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×420 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 279 games are announced against 97 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 279 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 183
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $599 → $955 → $450 → $1.9k → $898 → $719 (still earning) → $330 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 183
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,396)
Top 5% $200k (exactly $199,700)
Developers, 2 yr 183
Released games 569
Announced 279
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
2D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 11,886 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $840, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 101 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 279 games are announced against 97 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lucky Tower Ultimate $14.99 2,281 94% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,766) Studio Seufz
再刷一把2:金色传说 $9.99 2,748 44% 82k $824k (exactly $823,576) 滑稽工作室
Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon $14.99 1,397 70% 42k $628k (exactly $628,231) Art Thieves
Xuan-Yuan Sword: Mists Beyond the Mountains older $13.99 1,161 84% 35k $487k (exactly $487,272) DOMO Studio, SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Ambidextro $7.99 1,334 98% 40k $320k (exactly $319,760) Majorariatto
Trainee Death Simulator $5.99 1,746 92% 52k $314k (exactly $313,756) Bone Nail
Dunjungle $14.99 692 96% 21k $311k (exactly $311,192) Bruno Bombardi
大千世界 older $3.99 2,289 86% 69k $274k (exactly $273,993) 滑稽工作室
Chronicles of the Wolf $19.99 417 82% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Migami Games
The Spirit of the Samurai $19.99 413 59% 12k $248k (exactly $247,676) Digital Mind Games
Divinum $14.99 525 85% 16k $236k (exactly $236,092) Sigil Games
Scarlet Deer Inn $19.99 333 88% 10k $200k (exactly $199,700) Attu Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.