Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Medieval

Only 12 developers shipped a Medieval Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pass the Fear, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 15 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $300 → $3.6k → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,074)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,700,554)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 32
Announced 15
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 3,158 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $450, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pass the Fear $18.99 2,985 79% 90k $1.7M (exactly $1,700,554) PlayMud Studio
Wandness: WandCraft Survivor $6.99 107 74% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar
Witch The Bloodlines older $14.99 27 40% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) Kerim Kumbasar
Tale of the Bullet Knight · EA $15.99 21 95% 630 $10k (exactly $10,074) JAKALWIZARDSTUDIO
Hyforge · EA older $14.99 8 50% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Piko Island Studios
Abyss Eschaton Survivors $3.99 30 80% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) ArrhythmiaZack
冬眠(hibernation) older $6.99 16 100% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) 玄机子
Valkyrie Champions older $3.99 26 69% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,112) Valorware
Fakeway · EA older $5.99 12 91% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) 雍乐蜜獾, Happy Honey Badger
Kingdom Gun older $0.99 51 52% 1.5k $1.5k (exactly $1,515) Incredible Two Studios, LLC
​Shattered Lands (破碎之地) $6.99 4 25% 120 $839 (exactly $839) VoidStudio
Exiles of the Dark Dungeon $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) 布莱恩和鱼缸工作室
Stickman Physics Battle Arena $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Kyle Hawks
Guards vs Goats $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) David Amado
Castle of Mist $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) HU ZENAN
Flooded Lands $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) OpxGaming

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.