Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Archery game?

Archery + Medieval

Of 32 developers who shipped a Medieval Archery game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 83 more are announced, ×6.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 83 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.9 per shipper, while revenue is up 20% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 83 announced, ×6.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $597 → $809 → $2.7k → $897 → $809 → $180 → $839 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Archery + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $8.7k (exactly $8,738)
Top 5% $539k (exactly $538,531)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 124
Announced 83
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Swordplay, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Linear, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,369 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $300, 1 in 4 over $8.7k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 83 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  5. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  6. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  7. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  9. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  11. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BLACKTAIL older $29.99 1,968 83% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,770,610) THE PARASIGHT
Northern Journey older $11.99 3,500 96% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,950) Slid Studio
Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders older $29.99 1,020 68% 31k $918k (exactly $917,694) MeanAstronauts
Grimlord $29.99 927 78% 28k $834k (exactly $834,022) Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Project Sparrow · EA older $9.99 1,067 88% 32k $320k (exactly $319,780) Inspire Game Studios
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown older $19.99 326 97% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Falling Squirrel, Creative Bytes Studios
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) · EA older $23.99 267 72% 8.0k $192k (exactly $192,160) Happy Daram Inc.
The Viking Way · EA older $14.99 331 42% 9.9k $149k (exactly $148,851) Ice Lava Games
Unknightly · EA older $19.99 221 69% 6.6k $133k (exactly $132,534) Portal Studios
The Last King · EA $14.99 122 79% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) Mayawi software
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
Throbbin Hood 🏹🔞 $14.99 99 80% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,520) BanzaiProject
Swamp Keeper $3.99 82 96% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Maetdol Games
Robin Hood: Sherwood Defenders $11.99 25 44% 750 $9.0k (exactly $8,992) MeanAstronauts
Goblin Attack $3.99 73 76% 2.2k $8.7k (exactly $8,738) BODOS
Tales of Isenberg $2.99 36 100% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) Madarász András, Varga David
Bunny Hurling $2.99 25 92% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Mounpeak Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.