Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsHunting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hunting game?

Hunting

Of 212 developers who shipped a Hunting game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 369 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1192 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 369 games are announced against 116 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 369 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 212
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $2.1k → $1.2k → $1.6k → $7.0k → $449 → $1.9k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 212
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,991)
Top 5% $749k (exactly $748,760)
Developers, 2 yr 212
Released games 653
Announced 369
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting
Price point
$7.49 typical · top 25% priced $21.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $21.99 or above; the middle game at $7.49.

The top 10 games average 62% positive over 352,011 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 118 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 369 games are announced against 116 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Hunting

73 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Hunting + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $33k 19 devs
  2. Hunting + Base Building Poor odds $29k 24 devs
  3. Co-op + Hunting Poor odds $22k 30 devs
  4. Open World Survival Craft + Hunting Poor odds $22k 19 devs
  5. Online Co-Op + Hunting Poor odds $18k 31 devs
  6. Hunting + Agriculture Poor odds $15k 14 devs
  7. Hunting + Sandbox Poor odds $12k 37 devs
  8. Hunting + Magic Poor odds $9.0k 10 devs
  9. Hunting + Simulation Poor odds $5.7k 76 devs
  10. Hunting + Building Poor odds $4.8k 37 devs
  11. Hunting + Crafting Poor odds $4.8k 50 devs
  12. Hunting + Roguelike Poor odds $4.8k 11 devs
  13. Hunting + Roguelite Poor odds $4.8k 11 devs
  14. Character Customization + Hunting Poor odds $4.0k 33 devs
  15. Immersive Sim + Hunting Poor odds $4.0k 30 devs
  16. Hunting + Cooking Poor odds $4.0k 18 devs
  17. Hunting + Physics Poor odds $3.8k 12 devs
  18. Hunting + RPG Poor odds $3.4k 51 devs
  19. Open World + Hunting Poor odds $3.3k 79 devs
  20. Hunting + Resource Management Poor odds $3.1k 17 devs
  21. Hunting + Medieval Poor odds $3.1k 16 devs
  22. Hunting + PvE Poor odds $3.1k 34 devs
  23. Hunting + Exploration Poor odds $2.7k 96 devs
  24. Hunting + Inventory Management Poor odds $2.7k 15 devs
  25. Hunting + Survival Horror Poor odds $2.2k 36 devs
  26. Hunting + Stealth Poor odds $2.2k 25 devs
  27. Hunting + Psychological Horror Poor odds $2.2k 23 devs
  28. Hunting + Walking Simulator Poor odds $2.2k 14 devs
  29. Hunting + Archery Poor odds $2.2k 9 devs
  30. Hunting + Survival Poor odds $2.2k 89 devs
  31. Hunting + Mystery Poor odds $2.2k 12 devs
  32. Hunting + Adventure Poor odds $1.8k 107 devs
  33. Action-Adventure + Hunting Poor odds $1.8k 76 devs
  34. Hunting + Fishing Poor odds $1.8k 28 devs
  35. Hunting + Loot Poor odds $1.8k 14 devs
  36. PvP + Hunting Poor odds $1.6k 27 devs
  37. Hunting + Sci-fi Poor odds $1.6k 12 devs
  38. Hunting + Zombies Poor odds $1.5k 21 devs
  39. Hunting + Hidden Object Poor odds $1.3k 16 devs
  40. Action RPG + Hunting Poor odds $1.2k 24 devs
  41. Hunting + Dinosaurs Poor odds $1.2k 12 devs
  42. Hunting + Procedural Generation Poor odds $1.2k 12 devs
  43. Hunting + Creature Collector Poor odds $1.2k 8 devs
  44. Hunting + Sports Poor odds $959 15 devs
  45. Hunting + Combat Poor odds $899 32 devs
  46. Third-Person Shooter + Hunting Poor odds $899 17 devs
  47. Hunting + Action Poor odds $898 129 devs
  48. Hunting + Horror Poor odds $898 43 devs
  49. Hunting + Strategy Poor odds $898 28 devs
  50. Hunting + Supernatural Poor odds $836 12 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Far Cry® 5 older $59.99 172,897 81% 5.2M $311M (exactly $311,162,731) Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Sh… (Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Kiev)
Monster Hunter Wilds $39.99 200,984 52% 6.0M $241M (exactly $241,120,505) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
SCUM $44.99 98,554 74% 3.0M $133M (exactly $133,018,334) Gamepires
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
MONSTER HUNTER RISE older $39.99 79,847 84% 2.4M $96M (exactly $95,792,446) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Far Cry 3 older $19.99 122,691 87% 3.7M $74M (exactly $73,577,793) Ubisoft Montreal, Massive Entertainment… (Ubisoft Montreal, Massive Entertainment, and Ubisoft Shanghai)
The Isle · EA older $19.99 111,397 80% 3.3M $67M (exactly $66,804,781) Afterthought LLC
Far Cry® 4 older $29.99 68,485 84% 2.1M $62M (exactly $61,615,954) Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Shanghai,… (Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Shanghai, Toronto, Kiev)
Far Cry® Primal older $29.99 38,798 86% 1.2M $35M (exactly $34,906,561) Ubisoft
Soulmask $29.99 18,445 76% 553k $17M (exactly $16,594,966) CampFire Studio
WolfQuest: Anniversary Edition $29.99 11,511 97% 345k $10M (exactly $10,356,447) eduweb
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
FREEDOM WARS Remastered $39.99 1,211 69% 36k $1.5M (exactly $1,452,837) Dimps Corporation
Survivalist: Invisible Strain $11.99 4,014 87% 120k $1.4M (exactly $1,443,836) Bob
IfSunSets · EA $19.99 2,284 74% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) POLYMORPH
WolfQuest: Classic $29.99 1,401 90% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,260,480) eduweb

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.