Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Hunting game?

Hunting + Medieval

Only 16 developers shipped a Medieval Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×5.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $3.6M, ×5762 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 37 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $49k → $179 → $5.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,146)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $49,151)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 41
Announced 37
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 54% positive over 13,910 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $49k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
KINGDOMS · EA older $9.99 3,994 71% 120k $1.2M (exactly $1,197,002) Oreol
LIVE A LIVE older $49.99 785 85% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,177,264) Square Enix, historia Inc.
Card Survival: Fantasy Forest · EA $21.99 1,135 76% 34k $749k (exactly $748,760) WinterSpring Games
9th Dawn III older $15.99 501 87% 15k $240k (exactly $240,330) Valorware
DYSPLACED · EA $24.99 296 87% 8.9k $222k (exactly $221,911) 10tons Ltd
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown older $19.99 326 97% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Falling Squirrel, Creative Bytes Studios
Slavania older $15.99 202 61% 6.1k $97k (exactly $96,899) FrostLeaf Games LLC
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
Catch Me $5.99 178 70% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,987) Doorway Games
Kill A Million Rats $10.99 64 89% 1.9k $21k (exactly $21,101) Nerdook Productions
Cradle of the Dark Brood $4.99 38 78% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) RyuseGames
Ancient Savo $6.99 15 93% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Erkka Lehmus
Bunny Hurling $2.99 25 92% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Mounpeak Games
Phantom the Huntress $6.99 4 50% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Hoffnung Haydn

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.