Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelite Hunting game?

Hunting + Roguelite

Only 11 developers shipped a Roguelite Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Multiverse Loot Hunter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $920k, ×1481 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $60 → $13k → $419 → $4.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,101)
Top 5% $930k (exactly $929,824)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 34
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Roguelite
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 3,058 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $920k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Multiverse Loot Hunter $11.99 2,585 80% 78k $930k (exactly $929,824) 游戏养家工作室
The Red Lantern older $24.99 934 83% 28k $700k (exactly $700,220) Timberline Studio
Legends of Wasteland $6.99 320 62% 9.6k $67k (exactly $67,104) 清友工作室
The Corpsmen older $19.99 77 57% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) Multicell Games
In Woods older $6.99 195 84% 5.9k $41k (exactly $40,892) Vision Party
Bound By Blades older $10.99 94 77% 2.8k $31k (exactly $30,992) Zeth
Dungeon Scavenger older $7.99 104 95% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,929) Vidama Software LLC
Kill A Million Rats $10.99 64 89% 1.9k $21k (exactly $21,101) Nerdook Productions
Goblins Strike Back -Instant Fuck Heroines- older $14.99 44 75% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,787) Ketchup AjiNo Mayonnaise
Summonsters older $2.99 181 75% 5.4k $16k (exactly $16,236) SFCO Games
Dinosaurs Dominion $9.99 32 65% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Arcupion Art
SideQuest Hunters $4.99 35 71% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Paparajote Games
ShuffleHunt $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) PURESO_STUDIO
Hunting Pack $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Vaeril Games
Monster Hunting Party $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Contradicted Canine
BuddySkill $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) Youlstudio
Beast Survivor $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Keith Ku

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.