Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Hunting game?

Hunting + Sci-fi

Only 12 developers shipped a Sci-fi Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, EXELIO, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $10k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is up 1230% on the market; 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 1230% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2M → $299 → $210 → $0 → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 39
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1230% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 81 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
Stranded: Alien Dawn older $34.99 9,715 84% 291k $10M (exactly $10,197,836) Haemimont Games
Aliens vs. Predator™ older $14.99 16,268 91% 488k $7.3M (exactly $7,315,720) Rebellion
LIVE A LIVE older $49.99 785 85% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,177,264) Square Enix, historia Inc.
The Rule of Land: Pioneers older $10.99 301 65% 9.0k $99k (exactly $99,240) Horgee Games
EXELIO · EA $19.99 17 64% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) AI Frog Interactive, Inc.
Full Quiet older $9.99 31 80% 930 $9.3k (exactly $9,291) Retrotainment Games
Raccoon on a boat $5.99 33 60% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) PUMPKIM
ADAPTR older $14.99 13 92% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) ProjectorGames
Isles of Silence · EA older $5.99 29 86% 870 $5.2k (exactly $5,211) Lonely Frontier Studio
CODE:VALKYRIE III $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ulimworks
Morels: Out of this World $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Abrams Studios LLC
HANGRY™ · EA $14.99 4 25% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Game Pill
Twisted Chance Online · EA $12.99 4 75% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Fantasy World
HOTWING HELLIONS $3.50 3 100% 90 $315 (exactly $315) LOCHNESSLABS
Silent Woods · EA $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) SQUAD24, Elermond Studio
NULL SECTOR: LAST PROTOCOL · EA $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) ringer
Mesh Replica $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Lesser Imp Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.