Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Hunting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Hunting game?

PvP + Hunting

Of 27 developers who shipped a PvP Hunting game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $16M, ×11078 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 59 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 59 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Hunting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.2k → $3.4k → $49k → $750 → $1.2k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Hunting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $37k (exactly $37,327)
Top 5% $17M (exactly $16,594,966)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 67
Announced 59
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Hunting; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Open World, Crafting, RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 131,129 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $37k, 1 in 20 over $16M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SCUM $44.99 98,554 74% 3.0M $133M (exactly $133,018,334) Gamepires
Soulmask $29.99 18,445 76% 553k $17M (exactly $16,594,966) CampFire Studio
Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin older $39.99 11,845 82% 355k $14M (exactly $14,210,446) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Depth older $19.99 23,590 89% 708k $14M (exactly $14,146,923) Ammobox Studios
Night of the Dead older $29.99 10,380 77% 311k $9.3M (exactly $9,338,886) Jackto Studios
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Animalia Survival · EA older $19.99 2,823 64% 85k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,953) High Brazil Studio
Monster Hunter Stories older $29.99 1,615 90% 48k $1.5M (exactly $1,453,016) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
FREEDOM WARS Remastered $39.99 1,211 69% 36k $1.5M (exactly $1,452,837) Dimps Corporation
Out of Reach older $14.99 2,390 54% 72k $1.1M (exactly $1,074,783) Space Boat Studios
Afterinfection $8.99 463 56% 14k $125k (exactly $124,871) RePatrick21
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
Hoofobia $6.99 178 68% 5.3k $37k (exactly $37,327) Deathyell Games
Big Buck Hunter: Ultimate Trophy $39.99 20 60% 600 $24k (exactly $23,994) Cradle Games, Play Mechanix, Inc
The Last Disease Z · EA $8.99 82 54% 2.5k $22k (exactly $22,115) Bublig
Scotland Yard – Hunting Mister X $14.99 21 23% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) BitBarons GmbH

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.