Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Hunting game?

Hunting + Supernatural

Only 12 developers shipped a Supernatural Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Folklore Hunter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $650k, ×1046 the market median. Revenue is up 1325% on the market; 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 1325% on the market, 34 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $182k → $210 → $5.8k (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $836 (exactly $836)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,846)
Top 5% $657k (exactly $656,815)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 38
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1325% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 82% positive over 2,840 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $840, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $650k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HellSign older $19.99 2,147 67% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,287,556) Ballistic Interactive
Witch Hunt older $9.99 2,291 88% 69k $687k (exactly $686,613) Gua
Folklore Hunter $17.99 1,217 75% 37k $657k (exactly $656,815) Liquid Donkey Games
Rake older $4.99 3,795 71% 114k $568k (exactly $568,112) Konsordo
Paranoia Place: Escape Together $7.99 1,555 87% 47k $373k (exactly $372,734) Bloody Pixel Games
Skinwalker Hunt older $12.99 790 91% 24k $308k (exactly $307,863) Gua
Vampire: The Masquerade - Justice older $29.99 235 64% 7.1k $211k (exactly $211,430) Fast Travel Games
A Day Out older $9.99 607 76% 18k $182k (exactly $181,918) KevTheDev, gamesbychris
Touhou Mechanical Scrollery | 幻想討幻経 older $19.99 243 53% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) 巫女さん作法
Shadows Peak older $9.99 297 70% 8.9k $89k (exactly $89,011) Gua
Goo Deer $14.99 13 53% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) VML Studios
BACKROOMS: DON'T LOOK AWAY $2.99 25 84% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) DMNT Interactive
Dolls: The Hunt · EA $8.99 7 85% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) Fake Fox
Undead Hunter Part I $1.99 14 78% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Fireplay Studio
Hunter's Journey: Nightmare Hunting Collector's Edition $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) Do Games Limited
Leshy Prelude $0.99 8 87% 240 $238 (exactly $238) Hassan Khan, Shahmir Khan
Shadow Stalker · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LilGnomeGames
Phantom Patrol $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Gamma Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.