Do I ship it?

Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Hunting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hunting Action RPG?

Action RPG + Hunting

Of 24 developers who shipped a Hunting Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $3.6M, ×2415 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 59 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 59 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Hunting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $6.0k → $2.2k → $41k → $32k → $1.2k → $372 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Hunting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $327 (exactly $327)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $118k (exactly $118,082)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 82
Announced 59
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Hunting; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, PvE
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 52% positive over 218,621 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. 5 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Monster Hunter Wilds 2025 · $241M Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition 2020 · $144M MONSTER HUNTER RISE 2022 · $96M Far Cry® 4 2014 · $62M Far Cry® Primal 2016 · $35M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monster Hunter Wilds $39.99 200,984 52% 6.0M $241M (exactly $241,120,505) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
MONSTER HUNTER RISE older $39.99 79,847 84% 2.4M $96M (exactly $95,792,446) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Far Cry® 4 older $29.99 68,485 84% 2.1M $62M (exactly $61,615,954) Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Shanghai,… (Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Shanghai, Toronto, Kiev)
Far Cry® Primal older $29.99 38,798 86% 1.2M $35M (exactly $34,906,561) Ubisoft
GOD EATER 3 older $59.99 7,736 80% 232k $14M (exactly $13,922,479) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Toukiden 2 older $59.99 1,177 80% 35k $2.1M (exactly $2,118,247) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
FREEDOM WARS Remastered $39.99 1,211 69% 36k $1.5M (exactly $1,452,837) Dimps Corporation
IfSunSets · EA $19.99 2,284 74% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) POLYMORPH
WolfQuest: Classic $29.99 1,401 90% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,260,480) eduweb
Fera: The Sundered Tribes · EA $9.99 394 57% 12k $118k (exactly $118,082) Massive Damage, Inc.
Welcome to Planet E1d0r4d0! $8.99 119 68% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,094) LuluGames
The Last Disease Z · EA $8.99 82 54% 2.5k $22k (exactly $22,115) Bublig
Cat Gladiator $8.99 69 86% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,609) Funleeks Studio
HANGRY™ · EA $14.99 4 25% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Game Pill

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.