Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsHunting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hunting game?

Hunting

Of 212 developers who shipped a Hunting game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 369 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1192 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 369 games are announced against 116 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 369 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 212
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $2.1k → $1.2k → $1.6k → $7.0k → $449 → $1.9k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 212
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,991)
Top 5% $749k (exactly $748,760)
Developers, 2 yr 212
Released games 653
Announced 369
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting
Price point
$7.49 typical · top 25% priced $21.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $21.99 or above; the middle game at $7.49.

The top 10 games average 62% positive over 352,011 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 118 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 369 games are announced against 116 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Hunting

73 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Hunting + Nature Poor odds $750 60 devs
  2. FPS + Hunting Poor odds $748 49 devs
  3. Hunting + 3D Platformer Poor odds $450 17 devs
  4. Hunting + Fantasy Poor odds $419 17 devs
  5. Hunting + Shooter Poor odds $360 61 devs
  6. Hunting + Choices Matter Poor odds $300 18 devs
  7. Hunting + Hack and Slash Poor odds $300 15 devs
  8. Hunting + Farming Sim Dead $29k 8 devs
  9. Hunting + Life Sim Dead $13k 20 devs
  10. Hunting + Mining Dead $2.8k 10 devs
  11. Hunting + Collectathon Dead $2.7k 9 devs
  12. Hunting + Investigation Dead $1.8k 8 devs
  13. Hunting + Choose Your Own Adventure Dead $1.5k 9 devs
  14. Hunting + Puzzle Dead $1.3k 7 devs
  15. Hunting + Score Attack Dead $719 7 devs
  16. Hunting + 2D Platformer Dead $450 8 devs
  17. Hunting + Thriller Dead $449 12 devs
  18. Hunting + Female Protagonist Dead $360 14 devs
  19. Hunting + Demons Dead $360 10 devs
  20. Hunting + Arcade Dead $315 23 devs
  21. Hunting + Action Roguelike Dead $299 11 devs
  22. Hunting + Sniper Dead $299 6 devs
  23. Hunting + Shoot 'Em Up Dead $210 11 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Far Cry® 5 older $59.99 172,897 81% 5.2M $311M (exactly $311,162,731) Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Sh… (Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Kiev)
Monster Hunter Wilds $39.99 200,984 52% 6.0M $241M (exactly $241,120,505) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
SCUM $44.99 98,554 74% 3.0M $133M (exactly $133,018,334) Gamepires
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
MONSTER HUNTER RISE older $39.99 79,847 84% 2.4M $96M (exactly $95,792,446) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Far Cry 3 older $19.99 122,691 87% 3.7M $74M (exactly $73,577,793) Ubisoft Montreal, Massive Entertainment… (Ubisoft Montreal, Massive Entertainment, and Ubisoft Shanghai)
The Isle · EA older $19.99 111,397 80% 3.3M $67M (exactly $66,804,781) Afterthought LLC
Far Cry® 4 older $29.99 68,485 84% 2.1M $62M (exactly $61,615,954) Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Shanghai,… (Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Shanghai, Toronto, Kiev)
Far Cry® Primal older $29.99 38,798 86% 1.2M $35M (exactly $34,906,561) Ubisoft
Soulmask $29.99 18,445 76% 553k $17M (exactly $16,594,966) CampFire Studio
WolfQuest: Anniversary Edition $29.99 11,511 97% 345k $10M (exactly $10,356,447) eduweb
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
FREEDOM WARS Remastered $39.99 1,211 69% 36k $1.5M (exactly $1,452,837) Dimps Corporation
Survivalist: Invisible Strain $11.99 4,014 87% 120k $1.4M (exactly $1,443,836) Bob
IfSunSets · EA $19.99 2,284 74% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) POLYMORPH
WolfQuest: Classic $29.99 1,401 90% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,260,480) eduweb

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.