Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Hunting game?

Hunting + Horror

Of 43 developers who shipped a Horror Hunting game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 79 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×628 the market median. Revenue is up 490% on the market; 79 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 490% on the market, 79 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.3k → $958 → $449 → $836 → $657 → $4.0k (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,386)
Top 5% $394k (exactly $394,387)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 122
Announced 79
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 490% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action-Adventure, Exploration, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 7,310 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 79 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Isle · EA older $19.99 111,397 80% 3.3M $67M (exactly $66,804,781) Afterthought LLC
Depth older $19.99 23,590 89% 708k $14M (exactly $14,146,923) Ammobox Studios
Aliens vs. Predator™ older $14.99 16,268 91% 488k $7.3M (exactly $7,315,720) Rebellion
HellSign older $19.99 2,147 67% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,287,556) Ballistic Interactive
Death in the Water 2 older $14.99 1,734 83% 52k $780k (exactly $779,780) Lighthouse Games Studio
Witch Hunt older $9.99 2,291 88% 69k $687k (exactly $686,613) Gua
Folklore Hunter $17.99 1,217 75% 37k $657k (exactly $656,815) Liquid Donkey Games
Rake older $4.99 3,795 71% 114k $568k (exactly $568,112) Konsordo
Squirrel Stapler older $7.99 2,062 96% 62k $494k (exactly $494,261) David Szymanski
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
Deathground · EA $14.99 877 61% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) Jaw Drop Games
Paranoia Place: Escape Together $7.99 1,555 87% 47k $373k (exactly $372,734) Bloody Pixel Games
The Lightkeeper $7.99 1,081 81% 32k $259k (exactly $259,116) Darkphobia Games
The Axis Unseen $24.99 309 75% 9.3k $232k (exactly $231,657) Just Purkey Games
Hachishaku $9.99 456 85% 14k $137k (exactly $136,663) Trash Panda Games
FREE DUROV $3.99 363 90% 11k $43k (exactly $43,451) RASKUMAR TEAM
Uktena 64 - Ultimate $6.99 138 92% 4.1k $29k (exactly $28,939) KIRA LLC
BLOOD MALL: RETAPED $1.99 285 94% 8.6k $17k (exactly $17,014) Ollie Hall

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.