Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Hunting game?

Hunting + Hidden Object

Only 16 developers shipped a Hidden Object Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Afterinfection, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×6.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×199 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 31 announced, ×6.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $896 → $2.7k → $1.3k
Outcomes for Hunting + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Top 25% $7.0k (exactly $6,966)
Top 5% $125k (exactly $124,871)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 56
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Hidden Object
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 59% positive over 628 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $6.9k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Russian Village Simulator older $29.99 889 84% 27k $800k (exactly $799,833) VD Games, PropilGames
Prehistoric Hunt · EA older $17.99 678 84% 20k $366k (exactly $365,917) Antiproto Studios
Morels: The Hunt older $19.99 260 86% 7.8k $156k (exactly $155,922) Abrams Studios
Afterinfection $8.99 463 56% 14k $125k (exactly $124,871) RePatrick21
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
Russian Village Simulator on Mars $15.99 58 77% 1.7k $28k (exactly $27,823) VD Games, PropilGames
Arctic Anxiety · EA older $2.99 285 55% 8.6k $26k (exactly $25,565) Arctic Studio
Twilight Tails $16.99 43 51% 1.3k $22k (exactly $21,917) Prokopchuk Pavlo
SO BELOW · EA older $11.99 56 73% 1.7k $20k (exactly $20,143) Eonia Studio
Crowhille - Detective Case Files VR older $5.99 90 88% 2.7k $16k (exactly $16,173) Saturn VR, NipsApp Gaming Software
Find 100 Ducks and Blast Them...IN SPACE!!! $7.49 31 93% 930 $7.0k (exactly $6,966) Welcome Back Games
South America Gold Rush · EA $9.99 9 44% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Argo Games
Mushroom Hunter World $7.99 8 62% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Poroshin Develop
Undefined Survivors -アンディファインド サバイバーズ- · EA $29.99 2 0% 60 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Runpath Inc.
Ghost Hunters $14.99 3 33% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) 8floor ltd
Money Theft 2: Heist $3.99 10 70% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Hunter's Journey: Nightmare Hunting Collector's Edition $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) Do Games Limited

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.