Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Walking Simulator Hunting game?

Hunting + Walking Simulator

Only 14 developers shipped a Walking Simulator Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BULT: Hunting simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×415 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $150 → $2.4k → $130k → $1.9k → $23k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,618)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,242)
Top 25% $130k (exactly $129,698)
Top 5% $260k (exactly $260,439)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 56
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Co-op
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,745 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 6 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
The Isle · EA older $19.99 111,397 80% 3.3M $67M (exactly $66,804,781) Afterthought LLC
Call of the Wild: The Angler™ older $29.99 6,122 63% 184k $5.5M (exactly $5,507,963) Expansive Worlds
Animalia Survival · EA older $19.99 2,823 64% 85k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,953) High Brazil Studio
The Red Lantern older $24.99 934 83% 28k $700k (exactly $700,220) Timberline Studio
Squirrel Stapler older $7.99 2,062 96% 62k $494k (exactly $494,261) David Szymanski
Prehistoric Hunt · EA older $17.99 678 84% 20k $366k (exactly $365,917) Antiproto Studios
BULT: Hunting simulator · EA $9.99 869 87% 26k $260k (exactly $260,439) Nordrise
The Lightkeeper $7.99 1,081 81% 32k $259k (exactly $259,116) Darkphobia Games
Morels: The Hunt older $19.99 260 86% 7.8k $156k (exactly $155,922) Abrams Studios
Hachishaku $9.99 456 85% 14k $137k (exactly $136,663) Trash Panda Games
Virtual Hunter $24.99 173 71% 5.2k $130k (exactly $129,698) Korpi Games Oy
Ember's Verge $14.99 51 88% 1.5k $23k (exactly $22,935) Feralless Games
Morels: Out of this World $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Abrams Studios LLC
Bunny Hurling $2.99 25 92% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Mounpeak Games
Cat Simulator: Meow $0.99 65 60% 2.0k $1.9k (exactly $1,930) Cat Studio
Mushroom Hunter World $7.99 8 62% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Poroshin Develop
Open Hunting XL $8.99 6 33% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) Kunstaat

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.