Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy Hunting game?

Hunting + Strategy

Of 28 developers who shipped a Strategy Hunting game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $67k, ×107 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 51 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 51 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.8k → $46k → $1.9k → $449 → $21k → $179 → $898 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,731)
Top 5% $67k (exactly $67,104)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 95
Announced 51
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Strategy; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 3,389 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $900, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $67k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
The Isle · EA older $19.99 111,397 80% 3.3M $67M (exactly $66,804,781) Afterthought LLC
Far Cry® Primal older $29.99 38,798 86% 1.2M $35M (exactly $34,906,561) Ubisoft
Stranded: Alien Dawn older $34.99 9,715 84% 291k $10M (exactly $10,197,836) Haemimont Games
Aliens vs. Predator™ older $14.99 16,268 91% 488k $7.3M (exactly $7,315,720) Rebellion
KINGDOMS · EA older $9.99 3,994 71% 120k $1.2M (exactly $1,197,002) Oreol
Multiverse Loot Hunter $11.99 2,585 80% 78k $930k (exactly $929,824) 游戏养家工作室
Fishing Sim World®: Pro Tour older $19.99 945 80% 28k $567k (exactly $566,716) Dovetail Games
The Catch: Carp & Coarse Fishing older $14.99 328 74% 9.8k $148k (exactly $147,502) Dovetail Games
The Rule of Land: Pioneers older $10.99 301 65% 9.0k $99k (exactly $99,240) Horgee Games
Legends of Wasteland $6.99 320 62% 9.6k $67k (exactly $67,104) 清友工作室
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
Hoofobia $6.99 178 68% 5.3k $37k (exactly $37,327) Deathyell Games
Russian Village Simulator 2 $15.99 61 70% 1.8k $29k (exactly $29,262) VD Games, PropilGames
Kill A Million Rats $10.99 64 89% 1.9k $21k (exactly $21,101) Nerdook Productions
Don't Freeze: A Winter Card Survival · EA $17.99 31 74% 930 $17k (exactly $16,731) YOLO35GAMES
I Mother $14.99 17 94% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) HellYeah!
SideQuest Hunters $4.99 35 71% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Paparajote Games
ShuffleHunt $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) PURESO_STUDIO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.