Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Hunting game?

Hunting + Agriculture

Only 14 developers shipped an Agriculture Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $15k, ×24 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.6M, ×5762 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 23.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 20 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.5k → $33k → $29k → $15k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Median $15k (exactly $14,985)
Top 25% $92k (exactly $91,730)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 38
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Agriculture; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Building, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 54% positive over 13,983 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $15k, 1 in 4 over $91k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  7. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  8. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  9. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  10. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  11. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 15 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DYSMANTLE older $19.99 11,022 91% 331k $6.6M (exactly $6,609,893) 10tons Ltd
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Russian Village Simulator older $29.99 889 84% 27k $800k (exactly $799,833) VD Games, PropilGames
Card Survival: Fantasy Forest · EA $21.99 1,135 76% 34k $749k (exactly $748,760) WinterSpring Games
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
Cattle Country $18.99 335 86% 10k $191k (exactly $190,849) Castle Pixel, LLC.
Eden Island older $14.99 232 58% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) Moon Studio
Ecopunk · EA $22.99 133 81% 4.0k $92k (exactly $91,730) Zerone Games
Ice World $9.99 111 57% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) CoolRabbit Games
Wilderness older $14.99 66 27% 2.0k $30k (exactly $29,680) Horizon Studios
Russian Village Simulator 2 $15.99 61 70% 1.8k $29k (exactly $29,262) VD Games, PropilGames
Russian Village Simulator on Mars $15.99 58 77% 1.7k $28k (exactly $27,823) VD Games, PropilGames
Ice Age · EA $9.99 50 56% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Sabertooth Studio
Man Made · EA $19.99 8 37% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Rule51
Crazy Caveman · EA $4.99 19 52% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Caveman Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.