Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery Hunting game?

Hunting + Archery

Only 9 developers shipped an Archery Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Way of the Hunter 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×2564 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 32 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 32 announced, ×6.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $180 → $2.7k → $179
Outcomes for Hunting + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $750 (exactly $750)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,242)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $49,151)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 36
Announced 32
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Archery
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 98,634 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $49k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
The Axis Unseen $24.99 309 75% 9.3k $232k (exactly $231,657) Just Purkey Games
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown older $19.99 326 97% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Falling Squirrel, Creative Bytes Studios
Eden Island older $14.99 232 58% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) Moon Studio
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
The Hermit Chronicles older $9.99 39 64% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) WinterTent Studio
Hunting Unlimited 1 older $9.99 32 81% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) SCS Software
4 Kingdoms Supremacy · EA older $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) PiggyNose Games
South America Gold Rush · EA $9.99 9 44% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Argo Games
Bunny Hurling $2.99 25 92% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Mounpeak Games
Phantom the Huntress $6.99 4 50% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Hoffnung Haydn
Knights of the Apocalypse $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Sirius Morning Star
Quiver Quest $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Orca Virtual
Blood and Dust · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) PiggyNose Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.