Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Inventory Management Hunting game?

Hunting + Inventory Management

Only 15 developers shipped an Inventory Management Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, UMIGARI | ウミガリ, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×639 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.2k → $2.2k → $5.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,652)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Top 5% $401k (exactly $401,001)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 37
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Inventory Management
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,839 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stranded: Alien Dawn older $34.99 9,715 84% 291k $10M (exactly $10,197,836) Haemimont Games
Trans-Siberian Railway Simulator · EA older $19.99 1,835 91% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,100,450) Pentacle
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
Arctic Motel Simulator $17.99 465 88% 14k $251k (exactly $250,960) One Slice of Pizza Games
Save Room - Organization Puzzle older $2.99 2,033 97% 61k $182k (exactly $182,360) Fractal Projects
The Rule of Land: Pioneers older $10.99 301 65% 9.0k $99k (exactly $99,240) Horgee Games
Frost Survival VR $14.99 161 89% 4.8k $72k (exactly $72,402) Wenkly Studio Sp. z o.o.
Wilderness older $14.99 66 27% 2.0k $30k (exactly $29,680) Horizon Studios
The Hermit Chronicles older $9.99 39 64% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) WinterTent Studio
Hunting Unlimited 3 older $9.99 37 97% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,089) SCS Software
EXELIO · EA $19.99 17 64% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) AI Frog Interactive, Inc.
Goo Deer $14.99 13 53% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) VML Studios
SideQuest Hunters $4.99 35 71% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Paparajote Games
Crazy Caveman · EA $4.99 19 52% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Caveman Game
My First Craft Survival $5.20 17 70% 510 $2.7k (exactly $2,652) kuriemeiku
Five Mysterious Murders · EA $3.99 18 100% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) Silencer
Cat Simulator: Meow $0.99 65 60% 2.0k $1.9k (exactly $1,930) Cat Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.