Do I ship it?

Games › Open World Survival Craft › Open World Survival Craft + Hunting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hunting Open World Survival Craft?

Open World Survival Craft + Hunting

Only 19 developers shipped a Hunting Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SCUM, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $22k, ×16 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $15k; 1 in 20 cleared $130M, ×98752 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 29 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 16.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 29 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Open World Survival Craft + Hunting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $743k → $125k → $18k → $15k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Open World Survival Craft + Hunting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $15k (exactly $14,985)
Median $22k (exactly $22,115)
Top 25% $749k (exactly $748,760)
Top 5% $133M (exactly $133,018,334)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 59
Announced 29
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $15.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Open World Survival Craft
effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Open World Survival Craft, Hunting; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Open World, Action, Base Building
Price point
$15.99 typical · top 25% priced $44.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $44.99 or above; the middle game at $15.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 125,791 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $15k, median $22k, 1 in 4 over $740k, 1 in 20 over $130M.

3 in 10 developers made under $15k. 4 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Open World Survival Craft with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  2. + Co-opPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  4. + Immersive SimPoor odds14 devs · median $183k · 37 announced
  5. + PhysicsPoor odds8 devs · median $183k · 27 announced
  6. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $170k · 25 announced
  7. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $154k · 37 announced
  8. + ShooterPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds22 devs · median $125k · 56 announced
  10. + Sci-fiPoor odds32 devs · median $124k · 76 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds34 devs · median $116k · 60 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced

All 54 pairs on the Open World Survival Craft page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SCUM 2025 · $133M Far Cry® Primal 2016 · $35M Soulmask 2026 · $17M Night of the Dead 2024 · $9.3M The Survivalists 2020 · $6.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SCUM $44.99 98,554 74% 3.0M $133M (exactly $133,018,334) Gamepires
Far Cry® Primal older $29.99 38,798 86% 1.2M $35M (exactly $34,906,561) Ubisoft
Soulmask $29.99 18,445 76% 553k $17M (exactly $16,594,966) CampFire Studio
Night of the Dead older $29.99 10,380 77% 311k $9.3M (exactly $9,338,886) Jackto Studios
The Survivalists older $24.99 8,116 76% 243k $6.1M (exactly $6,084,565) Team17
Rising World · EA older $14.99 5,310 85% 159k $2.4M (exactly $2,387,907) JIW-Games
Survivalist: Invisible Strain $11.99 4,014 87% 120k $1.4M (exactly $1,443,836) Bob
IfSunSets · EA $19.99 2,284 74% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) POLYMORPH
Out of Reach older $14.99 2,390 54% 72k $1.1M (exactly $1,074,783) Space Boat Studios
Card Survival: Fantasy Forest · EA $21.99 1,135 76% 34k $749k (exactly $748,760) WinterSpring Games
Winter Survival $18.99 595 62% 18k $339k (exactly $338,972) DRAGO entertainment
Afterinfection $8.99 463 56% 14k $125k (exactly $124,871) RePatrick21
Frost Survival VR $14.99 161 89% 4.8k $72k (exactly $72,402) Wenkly Studio Sp. z o.o.
Russian Village Simulator on Mars $15.99 58 77% 1.7k $28k (exactly $27,823) VD Games, PropilGames
The Last Disease Z · EA $8.99 82 54% 2.5k $22k (exactly $22,115) Bublig

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.