Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Hunting game?

Hunting + Combat

Of 32 developers who shipped a Combat Hunting game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×188 the market median. Revenue is up 325% on the market; 73 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 325% on the market, 73 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.8k → $2.7k → $2.2k → $719 → $21k → $4.8k → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,991)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $118,271)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 101
Announced 73
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 325% on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Sandbox
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 19,524 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $900, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Far Cry® 5 older $59.99 172,897 81% 5.2M $311M (exactly $311,162,731) Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Sh… (Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Kiev)
Soulmask $29.99 18,445 76% 553k $17M (exactly $16,594,966) CampFire Studio
Stranded: Alien Dawn older $34.99 9,715 84% 291k $10M (exactly $10,197,836) Haemimont Games
Skinwalker Hunt older $12.99 790 91% 24k $308k (exactly $307,863) Gua
Adore older $19.99 396 87% 12k $237k (exactly $237,481) Cadabra Games
Shark Attack Deathmatch 2 older $4.99 1,415 74% 42k $212k (exactly $211,826) Lighthouse Games Studio
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown older $19.99 326 97% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Falling Squirrel, Creative Bytes Studios
Nature & Life - Drunk On Nectar $14.99 263 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $118,271) Venugopalan Sreedharan
Carnivores: Dinosaur Hunt older $14.99 235 63% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Digital Dreams Entertainment
Ecopunk · EA $22.99 133 81% 4.0k $92k (exactly $91,730) Zerone Games
Hunters Inc $14.99 155 56% 4.7k $70k (exactly $69,704) WYLDERZONE
Legends of Wasteland $6.99 320 62% 9.6k $67k (exactly $67,104) 清友工作室
Kill A Million Rats $10.99 64 89% 1.9k $21k (exactly $21,101) Nerdook Productions
Cat Gladiator $8.99 69 86% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,609) Funleeks Studio
Neolithic Dawn $19.99 30 60% 900 $18k (exactly $17,991) Neolithic LLC
Dinosaurs Dominion $9.99 32 65% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Arcupion Art
Goo Deer $14.99 13 53% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) VML Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.