Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hunting Survival Horror?

Hunting + Survival Horror

Of 36 developers who shipped a Hunting Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $650k, ×1046 the market median. Revenue is up 685% on the market; 45 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 685% on the market, 45 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $2.7k → $1.9k → $2.4k → $2.2k → $2.2k → $3.1k (still earning) → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,242)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,731)
Top 5% $657k (exactly $656,815)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 90
Announced 45
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 685% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Survival Horror; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Survival
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 8,205 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $650k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Depth older $19.99 23,590 89% 708k $14M (exactly $14,146,923) Ammobox Studios
Night of the Dead older $29.99 10,380 77% 311k $9.3M (exactly $9,338,886) Jackto Studios
Aliens vs. Predator™ older $14.99 16,268 91% 488k $7.3M (exactly $7,315,720) Rebellion
IfSunSets · EA $19.99 2,284 74% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) POLYMORPH
HellSign older $19.99 2,147 67% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,287,556) Ballistic Interactive
Death in the Water 2 older $14.99 1,734 83% 52k $780k (exactly $779,780) Lighthouse Games Studio
Witch Hunt older $9.99 2,291 88% 69k $687k (exactly $686,613) Gua
Folklore Hunter $17.99 1,217 75% 37k $657k (exactly $656,815) Liquid Donkey Games
Rake older $4.99 3,795 71% 114k $568k (exactly $568,112) Konsordo
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
Deathground · EA $14.99 877 61% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) Jaw Drop Games
Paranoia Place: Escape Together $7.99 1,555 87% 47k $373k (exactly $372,734) Bloody Pixel Games
Winter Survival $18.99 595 62% 18k $339k (exactly $338,972) DRAGO entertainment
Hachishaku $9.99 456 85% 14k $137k (exactly $136,663) Trash Panda Games
Ice World $9.99 111 57% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) CoolRabbit Games
Don't Freeze: A Winter Card Survival · EA $17.99 31 74% 930 $17k (exactly $16,731) YOLO35GAMES
Ice Age · EA $9.99 50 56% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Sabertooth Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.