Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Hunting game?

Hunting + Dinosaurs

Only 12 developers shipped a Dinosaur Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deathground, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×628 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Hunting + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,014)
Top 5% $394k (exactly $394,387)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 36
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 1,299 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
The Isle · EA older $19.99 111,397 80% 3.3M $67M (exactly $66,804,781) Afterthought LLC
Deathground · EA $14.99 877 61% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) Jaw Drop Games
Prehistoric Hunt · EA older $17.99 678 84% 20k $366k (exactly $365,917) Antiproto Studios
Carnivores: Dinosaur Hunt older $14.99 235 63% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Digital Dreams Entertainment
Dinosaur Hunt older $0.99 3,382 67% 101k $100k (exactly $100,445) Racing Bros
Athos · EA older $24.99 95 58% 2.9k $71k (exactly $71,222) Neojac Entertainment Inc.
Dinosis Survival older $5.99 291 55% 8.7k $52k (exactly $52,293) Corpix Games
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
Dinosaurs Prehistoric Survivors older $12.99 91 58% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,463) Arcupion Art
BLOOD MALL: RETAPED $1.99 285 94% 8.6k $17k (exactly $17,014) Ollie Hall
Dinosaurs Dominion $9.99 32 65% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Arcupion Art
Morels: Out of this World $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Abrams Studios LLC
Breathbound $9.99 4 50% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) 十年
DinoGORE $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) David Mills
Dinosaur Zoo VR : Dinosaur Hunting $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) dani360_studios
Bow Hunter $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Chadams Studios
Dinosaur Huntress · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) ImpureMind

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.